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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Paper Rexof G2 Esports, Paper Rex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$175,390
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$190,772

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,390 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc65c…ea39backed Paper Rex48c53,515$25,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,795.9734356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked G2 Esports55c30,986$17,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,042.37236.1%26 W · 46 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-20.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed G2 Esports54c10,638$5,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,744.6710455.8%58 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Paper Rex63c9,453$5,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,528.0919248.4%93 W · 99 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed G2 Esports52c9,270$4,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,791.813558.5%79 W · 56 L+11.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Paper Rex47c7,883$3,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,196.635728.1%16 W · 41 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-29%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Paper Rex46c6,647$3,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,576.448751.7%45 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked G2 Esports54c6,061$3,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,258.4426838.1%102 W · 166 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Paper Rex59c5,999$3,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,464.6765759.4%390 W · 267 L+50.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked G2 Esports53c5,611$2,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,973.735253.8%28 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked G2 Esports20c4,724$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.6411433.3%38 W · 76 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Paper Rex66c3,723$2,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.2668658.3%400 W · 286 L+56.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Paper Rex46c3,283$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,772.62751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+28.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed G2 Esports48c3,266$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.846647%31 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed G2 Esports33c3,266$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.9982435%288 W · 536 L-61.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed G2 Esports34c3,083$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.1741537.1%154 W · 261 L-26.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb44…3eafbacked G2 Esports54c2,780$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54ee…a524backed G2 Esports55c2,727$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick54cpaid-60%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed G2 Esports25c2,678$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.6846826.7%125 W · 343 L-25.9wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed Paper Rex65c2,417$1,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.025650%28 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Paper Rex45c2,398$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.6134847.4%165 W · 183 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x697f…b756backed G2 Esports53c2,309$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.5113345.9%61 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c4…0216backed Paper Rex47c2,282$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.81475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+54.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x867b…9fbabacked Paper Rex49c2,206$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Paper Rex59c1,986$1,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.81,74846.2%808 W · 940 L-2.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Paper Rex46c1,922$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.745125.5%13 W · 38 L-8.0wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-37.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked G2 Esports39c1,875$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.019042.2%38 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed G2 Esports41c1,826$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.696131.1%19 W · 42 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-35.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Paper Rex46c1,826$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.1632542.2%137 W · 188 L-14.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked G2 Esports56c1,792$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Paper Rex46c1,750$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94516639.2%65 W · 101 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed G2 Esports33c1,700$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.6328548.4%138 W · 147 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a32…9875backed G2 Esports33c1,696$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.821612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-49.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked Paper Rex48c1,577$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.516365.1%41 W · 22 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x94f8…e851backed Paper Rex67c1,489$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.266256.5%35 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked G2 Esports34c1,432$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.911,37039%534 W · 836 L-59.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked G2 Esports30c1,354$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.3910840.7%44 W · 64 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Paper Rex46c1,350$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72942134.9%147 W · 274 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed G2 Esports37c1,289$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.7977929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Paper Rex73c1,256$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.6170251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked G2 Esports30c1,251$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.648837.5%33 W · 55 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb187…bbe1backed Paper Rex49c1,177$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Paper Rex47c1,094$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.623857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb52…14dbbacked G2 Esports55c1,072$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.79714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-59.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked Paper Rex38c1,038$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.23246.9%15 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+37.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc318…447abacked G2 Esports53c1,038$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcd0…865fbacked G2 Esports52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed G2 Esports52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5204131.7%13 W · 28 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa45c…1d10backed G2 Esports44c999.99$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-63.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Paper Rex46c999.98$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.994637%17 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd116…c736backed G2 Esports55c912.3$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb758…dd73backed G2 Esports56c889.61$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.9525347%119 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed G2 Esports62c811$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.82862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58ba…1ae8backed G2 Esports54c806.51$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.27650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Paper Rex48c800$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4161631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked G2 Esports39c735.5$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.790244.3%400 W · 502 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed G2 Esports54c700$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3783548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Paper Rex47c699.96$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.9816142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Paper Rex62c643.19$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.2378862.8%495 W · 293 L+56.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0b4…834ebacked Paper Rex59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.471776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+26.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed G2 Esports47c500$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2346051.7%31 W · 29 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+10.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xafca…b822backed G2 Esports28c500$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.51464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+36.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c16…0272backed G2 Esports5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed G2 Esports55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27530%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Paper Rex40c498.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.2833759.6%201 W · 136 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26e3…0b75backed G2 Esports51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010551.4%54 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x601a…d1b1backed Paper Rex63c485.66$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.661070%7 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3829…f4bebacked Paper Rex51c462.75$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6573…2ef4backed Paper Rex51c462.75$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x757f…311dbacked G2 Esports55c454.55$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502040%8 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf32a…dea9backed Paper Rex46c433.41$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.045100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Paper Rex46c426.09$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.093938.5%15 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Paper Rex45c424.2$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.0627546.2%127 W · 148 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Paper Rex47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21210142.6%43 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Paper Rex45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22015553.5%83 W · 72 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2c3…16ccbacked Paper Rex51c392$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.088343.4%36 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Paper Rex57c384.69$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.39062.2%56 W · 34 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed G2 Esports44c372.31$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.6431634.2%108 W · 208 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Paper Rex49c367.23$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.44528.9%13 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-33.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x677f…1228backed Paper Rex45c340$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18713046.2%60 W · 70 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed G2 Esports55c330.67$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.87450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa517…179bbacked G2 Esports33c312.85$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2460%0 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed Paper Rex49c305.86$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.98650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa390…c7d9backed G2 Esports33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008119.8%16 W · 65 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa50b…22dabacked G2 Esports34c300$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Paper Rex70c299.99$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9162156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Paper Rex50c298$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1494535.6%16 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x68c0…7e68backed Paper Rex46c282.04$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.3862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick37cpaid+111.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Paper Rex57c281.7$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.1217654.5%96 W · 80 L-0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed G2 Esports68c267.05$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18235153.8%189 W · 162 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d1…3d4cbacked G2 Esports20c254.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507716.9%13 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed G2 Esports41c245.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042840%171 W · 257 L-22.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked G2 Esports50c240.78$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.386747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked G2 Esports60c240.05$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.8613759.9%82 W · 55 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed G2 Esports51c230.2$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.7224047.9%115 W · 125 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed G2 Esports55c227$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.855244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed G2 Esports45c224.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-41.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed G2 Esports54c222$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked G2 Esports26c219$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8518241.2%75 W · 107 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed G2 Esports48c217.93$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.295030%15 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.