Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x111b734f598539dda73f57951008cfc97405886e2314b6eb50d1e5587ec90f97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paper Rexof G2 Esports, Paper Rex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Paper Rex | 56c | 4,492$2,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.08 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Paper Rex | 45c | 3,200$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked G2 Esports | 54c | 3,180$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.97 | 267 | 38.2%102 W · 165 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Paper Rex | 64c | 2,775$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.16 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Paper Rex | 58c | 2,667$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.52 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed G2 Esports | 37c | 2,030$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.96 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked G2 Esports | 41c | 1,745$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.13 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed G2 Esports | 40c | 1,196$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.77 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked G2 Esports | 35c | 1,185$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.73 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed G2 Esports | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3a…780cbacked Paper Rex | 44c | 999.97$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.99 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed G2 Esports | 30c | 853.11$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.17 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed Paper Rex | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed Paper Rex | 63c | 610$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.12 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked G2 Esports | 58c | 504.6$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…ba7bbacked Paper Rex | 36c | 468$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.52 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Paper Rex | 55c | 341.92$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.43 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda99…907ebacked G2 Esports | 68c | 341.88$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1386…a692backed G2 Esports | 36c | 341.81$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49df…f885backed G2 Esports | 37c | 286.54$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.8 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5198…e647backed G2 Esports | 63c | 247.22$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…0272backed Paper Rex | 42c | 240$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed G2 Esports | 39c | 238.46$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed G2 Esports | 39c | 235.5$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.26 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked G2 Esports | 41c | 232.51$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.92 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c3…16ccbacked Paper Rex | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…bf46backed Paper Rex | 48c | 211.47$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.45 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed G2 Esports | 20c | 201.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99a2…feedbacked Paper Rex | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed G2 Esports | 56c | 183$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.63 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a55…c349backed Paper Rex | 39c | 182.73$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.12 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed G2 Esports | 56c | 178.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bfd8backed G2 Esports | 58c | 171.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked G2 Esports | 52c | 148.63$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.97 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x766a…d805backed Paper Rex | 67c | 138.84$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…3d4cbacked G2 Esports | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 16.9%13 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f8…ac78backed Paper Rex | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked G2 Esports | 37c | 125$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Paper Rex | 42c | 101$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 321 | 52.6%169 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…d62ebacked Paper Rex | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked G2 Esports | 50c | 89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed G2 Esports | 32c | 67.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d70…0593backed G2 Esports | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0128…d18abacked G2 Esports | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc924…8276backed G2 Esports | 17c | 59.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5959…4c4cbacked G2 Esports | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61c3…466cbacked G2 Esports | 57c | 53.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked G2 Esports | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed G2 Esports | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…9f80backed Paper Rex | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…5700backed G2 Esports | 40c | 42.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -70%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…8c94backed G2 Esports | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d822backed Paper Rex | 34c | 36.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…1c1dbacked G2 Esports | 31c | 31.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea59…0d07backed Paper Rex | 62c | 30.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed G2 Esports | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…8927backed Paper Rex | 79c | 13.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group StagePaper Rex won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 1 WinnerPaper Rex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.