Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80d315e81c59cc235f4545ca7fbb74a54297fd930eb2667f03fa107280fd2fa8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paper Rexof G2 Esports, Paper Rex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked G2 Esports | 42c | 5,730$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420.32 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Paper Rex | 39c | 3,200$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.46 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Paper Rex | 53c | 1,718$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.29 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Paper Rex | 57c | 999.64$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.29 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Paper Rex | 50c | 864.41$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.75 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed G2 Esports | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Paper Rex | 46c | 800$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed G2 Esports | 29c | 719.99$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.88 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed G2 Esports | 41c | 613$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.95 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed G2 Esports | 51c | 579.98$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.79 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed Paper Rex | 56c | 536.07$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.07 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked G2 Esports | 47c | 480.73$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.14 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed Paper Rex | 56c | 410.71$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.71 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c3…16ccbacked Paper Rex | 38c | 399.63$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.86 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed G2 Esports | 37c | 341.42$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.47 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Paper Rex | 49c | 335.26$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.98 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b4…834ebacked G2 Esports | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5d…95f2backed Paper Rex | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…ba7bbacked G2 Esports | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda99…907ebacked Paper Rex | 56c | 296.63$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Paper Rex | 64c | 285$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.05 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Paper Rex | 64c | 229.31$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.13 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…554bbacked Paper Rex | 37c | 220$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…3d4cbacked G2 Esports | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 16.9%13 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Paper Rex | 38c | 215.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.91 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked G2 Esports | 6c | 210.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0188…91babacked G2 Esports | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a2…feedbacked Paper Rex | 54c | 199$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.59 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed G2 Esports | 51c | 198$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb44…3eafbacked G2 Esports | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bfd8backed Paper Rex | 56c | 179.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.64 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49df…f885backed G2 Esports | 43c | 165.83$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a55…c349backed Paper Rex | 39c | 156.26$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.58 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0002…103ebacked Paper Rex | 55c | 150$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2701…7d87backed G2 Esports | 40c | 137.45$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Paper Rex | 49c | 136$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.74 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa517…179bbacked G2 Esports | 45c | 133.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4814…9a18backed G2 Esports | 62c | 130.11$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9d…98ddbacked Paper Rex | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5198…e647backed Paper Rex | 56c | 105.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked G2 Esports | 38c | 103.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x429f…7f2dbacked G2 Esports | 20c | 102.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…bf46backed Paper Rex | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5b…0324backed G2 Esports | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…9f80backed G2 Esports | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…55b8backed G2 Esports | 35c | 88.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0128…d18abacked G2 Esports | 49c | 78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked G2 Esports | 30c | 74.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Paper Rex | 31c | 64.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.06 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32f7…327fbacked Paper Rex | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf8…5facbacked G2 Esports | 49c | 51.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed G2 Esports | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Paper Rex | 39c | 47.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Paper Rex | 45c | 39.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…8c94backed Paper Rex | 46c | 34.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Paper Rex | 50c | 31.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3a…4ec2backed G2 Esports | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5959…4c4cbacked G2 Esports | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…a463backed Paper Rex | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Paper Rex | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Paper Rex | 66c | 25.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d17…32d8backed G2 Esports | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Paper Rex | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea59…0d07backed Paper Rex | 77c | 18.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ca…eb95backed Paper Rex | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group StagePaper Rex won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 2 WinnerPaper Rex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.