Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs DN Freecs (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x772a1cf01571a4a593c77f4f57fdcd2a2215c0cb32949af01b8509ba76bfa504
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dplus KIAof Dplus KIA, DN Freecs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8165…f688backed DN Freecs | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.83 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Dplus KIA | 56c | 6,111$3,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.98 | 230 | 20%46 W · 184 L | -17.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Dplus KIA | 56c | 5,000$2,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.91 | 262 | 46.6%122 W · 140 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Dplus KIA | 54c | 4,986$2,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.16 | 273 | 46.9%128 W · 145 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed DN Freecs | 45c | 4,456$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.76 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed DN Freecs | 36c | 4,062$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.29 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed DN Freecs | 45c | 3,000$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.45 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Dplus KIA | 56c | 2,214$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.29 | 131 | 36.6%48 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed DN Freecs | 37c | 1,520$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.55 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked DN Freecs | 43c | 1,508$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642 | 257 | 51%131 W · 126 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9560…9467backed DN Freecs | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…8927backed Dplus KIA | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.97 | 420 | 50.5%212 W · 208 L | +27.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Dplus KIA | 63c | 1,443$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.24 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked DN Freecs | 47c | 1,190$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.3 | 191 | 46.1%88 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Dplus KIA | 53c | 1,050$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.48 | 281 | 50.5%142 W · 139 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…4a8fbacked Dplus KIA | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed DN Freecs | 31c | 874.24$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.5 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked DN Freecs | 47c | 802.42$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.14 | 445 | 50.1%223 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Dplus KIA | 56c | 727.38$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.66 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b7…3e1cbacked Dplus KIA | 56c | 718.02$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.93 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed DN Freecs | 45c | 710$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.5 | 133 | 44.4%59 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Dplus KIA | 55c | 710$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.5 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed DN Freecs | 22c | 700$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Dplus KIA | 55c | 700$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59aa…3376backed DN Freecs | 41c | 643.24$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.88 | 1,131 | 43.1%487 W · 644 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Dplus KIA | 56c | 631.53$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.13 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Dplus KIA | 64c | 623.11$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.11 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Dplus KIA | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…89d0backed Dplus KIA | 56c | 357$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.08 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4989…8ff0backed DN Freecs | 31c | 323.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…d5c3backed DN Freecs | 31c | 320$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Dplus KIA | 61c | 299.74$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 179 | 42.5%76 W · 103 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed DN Freecs | 47c | 260$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Dplus KIA | 52c | 209.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0db9…d97cbacked DN Freecs | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Dplus KIA | 58c | 199$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.58 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed DN Freecs | 47c | 191.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1090…3ad3backed DN Freecs | 45c | 187.36$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.31 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Dplus KIA | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Dplus KIA | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Dplus KIA | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 481 | 43.2%208 W · 273 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Dplus KIA | 54c | 150.28$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked DN Freecs | 46c | 142.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…5ea8backed Dplus KIA | 56c | 137.5$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed DN Freecs | 48c | 135$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 431 | 48%207 W · 224 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed DN Freecs | 46c | 131$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed DN Freecs | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…330abacked Dplus KIA | 56c | 108$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Dplus KIA | 56c | 105.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.51 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd395…3731backed DN Freecs | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…37e7backed Dplus KIA | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 151 | 66.2%100 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97e…ea6fbacked DN Freecs | 47c | 78.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Dplus KIA | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f6…b8c6backed DN Freecs | 44c | 68.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…5c7fbacked Dplus KIA | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -12.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbbda…f10fbacked DN Freecs | 46c | 64.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x517e…dd65backed DN Freecs | 46c | 64.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c30…d531backed DN Freecs | 45c | 62.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31fa…20c5backed Dplus KIA | 56c | 60.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked DN Freecs | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…48d8backed Dplus KIA | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Dplus KIA | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 128 | 34.4%44 W · 84 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked DN Freecs | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece6…2854backed DN Freecs | 46c | 32.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Dplus KIA | 56c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -16.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Dplus KIA | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked DN Freecs | 46c | 25.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed DN Freecs | 46c | 23.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked DN Freecs | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs DN Freecs (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?DN Freecs won
- First Blood in Game 2?Dplus KIA won
- Game Handicap: DK (-2.5) vs DN Freecs (+2.5)DN Freecs won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsDplus KIA won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN Freecs - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN Freecs - Game 2 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN Freecs - Game 3 WinnerDN Freecs won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN SOOPers - Game 4 WinnerDplus KIA won
- Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 4?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 4?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 32.5 in Game 4?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.