TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,452
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,490

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,452 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x098c…1c67backed Under30c7,166$2,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,116.481,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6ce…8884backed Over75c1,820$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.681838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Over71c1,193$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.5314852%77 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0775…b0c5backed Under31c1,144$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.6525547.8%122 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…6657backed Over72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28017561.1%107 W · 68 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Over72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28039749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed Over72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.4432752.9%173 W · 154 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Under22c644.87$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.8712927.9%36 W · 93 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Under32c421.88$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1358252.4%43 W · 39 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8de7…f96dbacked Under3c386.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.59100%0 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcefa…40bbbacked Over79c374.87$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.856462.5%40 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1816…2ee6backed Over72c371.92$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1429240.8%119 W · 173 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa05f…b40dbacked Under30c350$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under31c348.62$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.341,73029.5%510 W · 1,220 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6fe4…a796backed Over70c275$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc174…23f1backed Under30c250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x591b…9f37backed Under30c244$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1da7…2e56backed Under41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007663.2%48 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cd5…4d46backed Over70c238$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85e9…2951backed Under30c231$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7908…af07backed Over70c224$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x577f…ed6fbacked Over70c220$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57cb…53fdbacked Under30c210.33$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ce…bd0bbacked Under30c203$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb66…5e13backed Over63c202.7$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.73855.3%21 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x534b…983fbacked Over79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4242835%150 W · 278 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under28c198.47$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.662,33039.4%919 W · 1,411 L-83.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2758…964fbacked Over70c191$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.33100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6639…853abacked Over70c190$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb51…359dbacked Over72c179.42$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.243458.8%20 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e2…244fbacked Over70c154$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Under10c151.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5621233%70 W · 142 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Over69c149.87$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.94456.8%25 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16de…93f1backed Over72c148.1$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20e5…3ea2backed Over72c145.31$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73b2…28fcbacked Over72c144.01$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x802e…adf4backed Over72c143.07$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.14961.2%30 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cdb…f3e6backed Over72c141.67$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6d…f7cdbacked Over72c140.32$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked Over72c139.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6812763%80 W · 47 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b20…ad0ebacked Over72c139.61$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…f07bbacked Over72c137.89$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e34…2151backed Over72c137.76$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb665…ed24backed Over72c119.61$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.493360.6%20 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x750c…2fe3backed Over72c119.59$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.493661.1%22 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb88…41b0backed Over72c106.01$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6813857.2%79 W · 59 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd641…0635backed Over66c103$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.446848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed Over72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284438.6%17 W · 27 L-7.3wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-21.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa825…2ef0backed Over60c99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0818342.6%78 W · 105 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa1d1…a269backed Over79c94.01$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.31872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc995…2224backed Under31c93.87$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294233.3%14 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d9…51c5backed Over67c89.12$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.125062%31 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe589…5d00backed Over72c85.37$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.94568.9%31 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb03…46dcbacked Over65c78$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3242851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x120e…edc8backed Over61c74.34$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.341741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under21c66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8626940.5%109 W · 160 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Under31c62.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.456627.3%18 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Under30c57.66$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.31,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7274…054cbacked Over53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.63330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x76ef…f934backed Over72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.565263.5%33 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Over80c50.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2411258%65 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1553954.7%295 W · 244 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06c4…f726backed Over66c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.63141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Over53c35.26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7122955.5%127 W · 102 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x834d…29ecbacked Over72c34.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.722842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2008…db59backed Over72c34.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.72666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97a6…159ebacked Over40c33.68$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.219424.5%23 W · 71 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Over71c32.35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3516357.1%93 W · 70 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b59…7155backed Over59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.32373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Over41c28.47$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.687728.6%22 W · 55 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5140…a151backed Over72c24.94$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.984257.1%24 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4262…abaabacked Over70c21.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.431070%7 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7178…8fb9backed Over70c21.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4313057.7%75 W · 55 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3493…40afbacked Over72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8334565.5%226 W · 119 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,93135.9%693 W · 1,238 L-98.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x38a4…d83bbacked Over72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.62972.4%21 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63db…eca7backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…7bfbbacked Over72c17.85$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52166.7%14 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over63c17.81$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5222636.7%83 W · 143 L-16.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x76a9…2907backed Over70c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.51752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03fd…28debacked Over71c14.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaabd…54fcbacked Over79c12.62$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.62955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.