Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: DK (-2.5) vs DN Freecs (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e70ac2d968d077c8a39749456c732f4c687faba09cbbfaac17795bb78e35897
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DN Freecsof Dplus KIA, DN Freecs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe1ef…4ababacked Dplus KIA | 0c | 21,884$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Dplus KIA | 32c | 4,234$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.26 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Dplus KIA | 23c | 2,727$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.2 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c65…4f24backed DN Freecs | 76c | 2,504$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.83 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe9…c6dcbacked DN Freecs | 63c | 1,985$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed DN Freecs | 77c | 1,500$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.1 | 175 | 61.1%107 W · 68 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed DN Freecs | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 757 | 38.6%292 W · 465 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Dplus KIA | 26c | 1,139$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Dplus KIA | 25c | 899.21$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.55 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…5e99backed Dplus KIA | 40c | 569.58$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.83 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed DN Freecs | 60c | 340.96$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.38 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca70…85debacked DN Freecs | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3230…782dbacked DN Freecs | 78c | 289.53$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…359dbacked DN Freecs | 77c | 269.09$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.89 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Dplus KIA | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…8f48backed DN Freecs | 40c | 220$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.07 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Dplus KIA | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…2224backed Dplus KIA | 27c | 181.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…ed24backed DN Freecs | 77c | 179.39$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.26 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…2fe3backed DN Freecs | 77c | 179.38$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.26 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…2be7backed Dplus KIA | 28c | 148.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…c638backed Dplus KIA | 36c | 140.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f27…71f1backed Dplus KIA | 26c | 130.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…36babacked DN Freecs | 77c | 130.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12cb…4fe3backed DN Freecs | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Dplus KIA | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked DN Freecs | 64c | 105.56$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc165…61a9backed DN Freecs | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…81ccbacked DN Freecs | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…3d4cbacked DN Freecs | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc20d…b58bbacked DN Freecs | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked DN Freecs | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…f448backed Dplus KIA | 68c | 71.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…3942backed DN Freecs | 73c | 69.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Dplus KIA | 26c | 65.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe25…df0abacked Dplus KIA | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked DN Freecs | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…7340backed DN Freecs | 75c | 26.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3444…726ebacked DN Freecs | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3c…a356backed DN Freecs | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…f6debacked DN Freecs | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2008…db59backed DN Freecs | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: DK (-2.5) vs DN Freecs (+2.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?DN Freecs won
- First Blood in Game 2?Dplus KIA won
- Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs DN Freecs (+1.5)Dplus KIA won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsDplus KIA won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN Freecs - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN Freecs - Game 2 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN Freecs - Game 3 WinnerDN Freecs won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN SOOPers - Game 4 WinnerDplus KIA won
- Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 4?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 4?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 32.5 in Game 4?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.