TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0b59…7155

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
161
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST7722.1%17 W · 60 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$82.65
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$46.2
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+52.7%+$138
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$143.45
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$666Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+50.2%+$333.99
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$198.9
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$67.59
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$143.74
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$763Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+31%+$236.6
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$16.4
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+219.5%+$274.74
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$162.04
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13.36
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$66.45
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20.74
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$98.17
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+53.1%+$116.18
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+234.3%+$154.2
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$96.6
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$69.5
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$86.5
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,717Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+29.9%+$512.76
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$65.5
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$17
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Berlin International Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Berlin International Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Berlin International Gaming (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked Berlin International Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+25%+$10
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+44%+$77.17
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+25.8%+$20.5
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+26.6%+$41.99
LoL: The Otter Side vs Crusaders - Game 1 Winnerbacked The Otter Side · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+60%+$11
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+40.8%+$11.6
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs G2 NORD - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+40.4%+$37.4
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+38.9%+$21
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+26.9%+$10.6
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23.1
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$60.8
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+69.5%+$12.3
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+31.6%+$32.21
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
All 23 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,717Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$748.79
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$517.44
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$9.71
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$164
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$49
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$97.7
No US strike on Syria in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$70.88
US strike on Syria by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+212.5%+$34
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+28.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+92.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-36%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FedEx say "Tariff" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+51.5%+$6.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+35.1%+$86.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US add between 50k and 75k jobs in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+31.6%+$72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+31.6%+$12.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$6.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$189.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$75.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$154
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.