TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Stade Brestois 29 vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$218,208

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,208 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Under53c80,031$42,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,614.713557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0792…b778backed Over43c45,733$19,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,665.272740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07d8…9f3fbacked Over47c32,553$15,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under57c24,464$13,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,519.5437638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under53c20,000$10,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,399.973756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3d0…d2f0backed Over47c10,294$4,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,838742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over14c10,270$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.9715048.7%73 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under77c10,068$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,268.351,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under53c8,273$4,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,888.6621144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under53c8,000$4,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7605156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over46c7,710$3,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,574.4171140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over47c7,447$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5003231.3%10 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-34.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8d7f…3ef5backed Over47c6,991$3,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,28620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over47c5,425$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.751464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over47c5,238$2,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4621241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over43c4,220$1,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,828.7162648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over47c4,096$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,925.21127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Over47c3,617$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Over47c3,230$1,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,51810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaed…580bbacked Over47c2,129$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.6340%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9402544%11 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf617…80c9backed Under57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.39475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+28.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over43c1,535$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.1217043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked Over47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.231136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x701f…9b8fbacked Over47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb96e…b3a2backed Over47c1,015$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4704751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18026660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Over47c949.85$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.431855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x473c…422bbacked Under57c935.09$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.09250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Over47c799.77$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.893647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under65c750$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.53141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x83c7…4078backed Over45c638.77$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.4970%0 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under54c600$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2788444%37 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over15c476.12$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.425662.5%35 W · 21 L+8.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+42.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under57c449.86$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.5710948.6%53 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over47c436.31$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.9287344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over24c417.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.995729.8%17 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over47c380$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.612147.9%58 W · 63 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over44c341.94$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.929949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over47c326.58$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.1131049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1299752.6%51 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12027748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Under57c237.6$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.17771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+47.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under57c235.82$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.420150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over45c180$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8111250.9%57 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0339…1394backed Over47c153.19$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick41cpaid-72.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Over42c136.79$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.872339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3d3…bd58backed Over47c117.02$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Under53c105.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.822759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over39c103.06$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.475750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Over30c100.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302045%9 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+46%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x449c…eaf5backed Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over15c97.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.586360.3%38 W · 25 L+9.2wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+39.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over33c95$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.819152.7%48 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7700…2d07backed Over33c91.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed Over47c91$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.776555.4%36 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under74c88.78$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9117251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010942.2%46 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under54c80.25$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8448649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Over47c80.17$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.68955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Under54c78.5$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.113461.8%21 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over47c77.58$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.469256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked Over47c76$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.726053.3%32 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed Over47c76$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.727057.1%40 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed Over47c76$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.726656.1%37 W · 29 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under52c75.13$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1233148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Over47c64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.082437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Over47c64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.08560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Over47c64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.081353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Over47c62$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.144461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5f2…2512backed Over37c60.51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.392825%7 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-47.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.88856.8%50 W · 38 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over47c59.68$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.335957.6%34 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf158…aa4bbacked Under53c50.36$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.671369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ce9…e7afbacked Over42c50.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.522340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over48c47.9$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.993745.9%17 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8a4…78a2backed Over47c47.87$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-64.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Over48c45.83$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under55c44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9815649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over44c43.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.25832.8%19 W · 39 L-8.0wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-43.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-55.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbf9…7560backed Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3108…8a52backed Over28c40.24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.271127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-36.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x53f0…fff4backed Under57c38.6$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d8b…c7e0backed Over44c38.59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35b8…898abacked Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.74666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba5a…dd09backed Over44c37.16$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f84…6c38backed Under57c36.96$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc80…1787backed Over44c34.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6594…dc84backed Under57c32.26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over47c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.044546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa684…ca71backed Over47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick46cpaid-64.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd25c…fe19backed Over47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-67.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.