Ligue 1 · resolved market
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd96a6e5e6ac7334f449d523edb9c14d17fea4e12125ee525236b96d92e9f28d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,433 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 5,847$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,304.03 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 71c | 2,707$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.08 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Over | 54c | 1,587$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over | 43c | 1,156$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 1,091$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.43 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 35c | 999.26$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.52 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 72c | 905.94$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.99 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 28c | 900.12$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.95 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3127…ff44backed Over | 55c | 224.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…0ac6backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 52c | 171.91$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.39 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 73c | 139.41$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 46c | 93.17$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.28 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 72c | 84.05$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 59c | 68.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 63.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 61.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 73c | 48.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 29c | 43.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 70c | 34.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 43c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Under | 60c | 18.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5540…eff4backed Over | 62c | 18.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Le Havre AC (-1.5)Stade Brestois 29 won
- Spread: Stade Brestois 29 (-1.5)Stade Brestois 29 won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Le Havre AC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.