Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Stade Brestois 29 (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf13592c68d83d48f031feb406119cda975984f541c114b98fb65938db726f6bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stade Brestois 29of Stade Brestois 29, Le Havre AC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,564 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Stade Brestois 29 | 25c | 7,378$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,506.58 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Le Havre AC | 75c | 5,195$3,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,902.84 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Le Havre AC | 68c | 1,479$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Le Havre AC | 74c | 1,386$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.92 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Le Havre AC | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.75 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Stade Brestois 29 | 22c | 1,249$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.39 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Stade Brestois 29 | 34c | 888.5$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.17 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Le Havre AC | 74c | 273$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.32 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Stade Brestois 29 | 26c | 168$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.32 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Le Havre AC | 74c | 108.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Stade Brestois 29 | 24c | 90.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.76 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Le Havre AC | 76c | 88.74$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Stade Brestois 29 | 23c | 83.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.73 | 178 | 17.4%31 W · 147 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Stade Brestois 29 | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Stade Brestois 29 | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Stade Brestois 29 | 36c | 37.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Stade Brestois 29 | 35c | 37.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Le Havre AC | 76c | 29.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Le Havre AC | 77c | 18.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Stade Brestois 29 (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Le Havre AC (-1.5)Stade Brestois 29 won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Le Havre AC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.