NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1e9b1805ee78612a818434886dafef0b432318ecfdeee3b46c30962e5142194
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 46c | 8,941$4,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,802.48 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa117…a311backed Over | 54c | 7,805$4,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,214.57 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 47c | 3,333$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.48 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 1,986$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.69 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 53c | 1,732$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Over | 56c | 1,436$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 1,165$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.94 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Over | 3c | 1,101$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Under | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 43c | 424.95$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.31 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 53c | 373.14$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.76 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3da…db64backed Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 343.86$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.37 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 52c | 300$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Over | 52c | 237.04$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117c…db06backed Over | 51c | 231.37$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bba…b20fbacked Over | 55c | 200$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…336dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…6a33backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 46c | 187$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.98 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 57.7%90 W · 66 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f3…6584backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 52c | 147.9$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.56 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a83…09f0backed Over | 53c | 130$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 53c | 115.47$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.31 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…908dbacked Over | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c6…830cbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…55eabacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…5735backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e7…4763backed Over | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b20…7c67backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…24f4backed Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…c366backed Over | 56c | 71.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 51c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5729…c366backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 43c | 55.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…ad73backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Over | 53c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46eb…71b9backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 345 | 56.2%194 W · 151 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd9…00b1backed Under | 48c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ce…77eabacked Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 51c | 40.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 53c | 37.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…97e5backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x188b…7c63backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 46c | 36.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd1…8f31backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 47.2%119 W · 133 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec1…dd29backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…d3bebacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f1…1744backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 246 | 45.9%113 W · 133 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x075a…8d34backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe800…0588backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb52…8046backed Over | 54c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…7155backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdd…4476backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…8c9bbacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Lakers won
- Lakers vs. JazzLakers won
- Lakers vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 125.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 126.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 244.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 245.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 246.5Under won
- Spread: Lakers (-8.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Lakers (-9.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.