TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 245.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$119,496
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,980

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,496 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c57…c94dbacked Under50c60,000$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,0005151%26 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c54,397$27,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,120.439,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Under50c16,954$8,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,552.4447751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Over50c14,818$7,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,40969852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…8f58backed Over49c7,169$3,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,512.966241.9%26 W · 36 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Under50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50034645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under51c4,002$2,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,960.7636248.9%177 W · 185 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00082442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over50c3,125$1,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,562.53,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under50c3,110$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,555.1366250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over50c2,979$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.32,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under53c2,908$1,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.331,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc1…ffeebacked Under52c2,404$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.8536943.4%160 W · 209 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c2,113$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.098,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under50c1,750$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87545647.1%215 W · 241 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Over49c1,436$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.648445.2%38 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over49c1,224$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60016442.1%69 W · 95 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Over49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018140.3%73 W · 108 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under49c1,013$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.392,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d16…85f3backed Under52c930.7$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.74742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x35a6…ab4dbacked Over51c816.45$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.392770.4%19 W · 8 L+4.9wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+34.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over50c640$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32034451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over48c627$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.962,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e13…732fbacked Over49c582$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.186648.5%32 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd8d…a108backed Under52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9210347.6%49 W · 54 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under50c510.2$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.12,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25072647.7%346 W · 380 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Under51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24522846.1%105 W · 123 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20033150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa763…709ebacked Over48c399.97$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.9919845.5%90 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over50c287$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.51,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc65…19a0backed Under52c276$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.4826044.6%116 W · 144 L-0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…ef6abacked Under52c269.31$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.27560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Under50c222$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1117055.7%39 W · 31 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Over50c204.64$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3221649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2e22…88a5backed Under54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9820143.3%87 W · 114 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe832…7abbbacked Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.085455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.319457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77b2…1e54backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over50c192$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9687647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over44c181$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5728537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8033147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf28…72aabacked Over8c149.65$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9713318.8%25 W · 108 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under49c144$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.442,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over50c143$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.562349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over50c143$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.58142%34 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over50c143$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.571747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under49c138.57$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.042,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over50c128$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6431250.3%157 W · 155 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over50c128$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6447948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under49c107$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.571,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over50c107$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.573445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4835739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over48c99.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4837750.4%190 W · 187 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4156…dcd6backed Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.159755.7%54 W · 43 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0e2…31e4backed Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1511251.8%58 W · 54 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b34…6296backed Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1510253.9%55 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4f1…f0e8backed Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.158155.6%45 W · 36 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dd9…00b1backed Under50c84$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.711651.7%60 W · 56 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x655d…b758backed Over50c81.4$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.724446.7%114 W · 130 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over50c81$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.534053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over50c81$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.531754.6%173 W · 144 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over50c81$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.534254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over50c71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.523753.6%127 W · 110 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over50c71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.527350.9%139 W · 134 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over50c71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.522048.6%107 W · 113 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over50c71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.532649.7%162 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over50c71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.523850.8%121 W · 117 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over50c71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.513155%72 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over50c71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.511741.9%49 W · 68 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over50c71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.527251.1%139 W · 133 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over50c71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.525250.8%128 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over50c71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.531852.2%166 W · 152 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over50c71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.527353.8%147 W · 126 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over50c71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.527150.2%136 W · 135 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over51c66$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6659743.6%260 W · 337 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Over50c64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3228852.8%152 W · 136 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over50c64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3224552.7%129 W · 116 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over50c64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3214648.6%71 W · 75 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over50c64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3245251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over50c64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over50c64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210751.4%55 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over50c64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328755.2%48 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over50c64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over50c64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3215352.3%80 W · 73 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over50c64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over50c64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324946.9%23 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over50c64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326552.3%34 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over50c64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3236651.4%188 W · 178 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over50c64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3226040%104 W · 156 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over50c64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3215854.4%86 W · 72 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over50c64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3215051.3%77 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over50c64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326346%29 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over50c64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3231551.1%161 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.