NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 246.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06b7cf209f0dd70aeed946cb136624da7259cb472a06083920270c215ef6127b

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Nov 24, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,804
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,316

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,804 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe78e…55f0backed Under	53c	999.99$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470	346	45.7%158 W · 188 L	+12.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	45c	879.48$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$397.41	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	47c	837$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.39	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over	67c	461.08$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.13	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Under	54c	399$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.54	701	53.5%375 W · 326 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5d…7253backed Over	46c	399$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.54	112	42.9%48 W · 64 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5dd…b094backed Under	55c	185$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.25	339	50.1%170 W · 169 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Over	23c	141.37$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.91	185	54.1%100 W · 85 L	+8.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x661e…81d6backed Under	55c	109.09$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.09	157	59.9%94 W · 63 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Over	47c	105.53$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	930	36.5%339 W · 591 L	-20.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fdc…6d51backed Under	58c	104.24$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.24	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	-4.5wins	-0.12per pick	60cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Under	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	549	51.9%285 W · 264 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd333…2a71backed Under	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	40	50%20 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50f7…7272backed Under	54c	92.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	39	69.2%27 W · 12 L	+5.6wins	+0.14per pick	55cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc5a3…8248backed Under	55c	63.64$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.64	80	52.5%42 W · 38 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over	47c	60.11$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.11	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Over	40c	56.1$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.28	2,265	43.4%982 W · 1,283 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over	47c	53.2$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	60	50%30 W · 30 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over	39c	47.71$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.63	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Under	54c	37.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	498	52.4%261 W · 237 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f1c…2be4backed Under	54c	37.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-3.7wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-25%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd7f…0d6cbacked Under	55c	32.73$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.73	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3162…d21cbacked Under	55c	27.27$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.27	88	59.1%52 W · 36 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadd4…3ae9backed Under	52c	23.08$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.08	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac7…03efbacked Under	52c	23.08$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.08	74	55.4%41 W · 33 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f9f…4b15backed Under	55c	21.82$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.82	99	62.6%62 W · 37 L	+5.1wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dda…5cbbbacked Under	55c	21.82$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.82	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd668…a01cbacked Under	54c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.2	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under	79c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.2	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 246.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event