NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 244.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb30dc260065240e73aab88bb820bf823aafd07886f0d22db38263ecf2a84f161
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 7,840$4,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,040.47 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2900…af64backed Over | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.83 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 49c | 3,126$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 50c | 2,636$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.04 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Under | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 47c | 2,240$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.37 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.99 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 52c | 1,356$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.25 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Over | 52c | 736.1$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.77 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 51c | 533.07$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.87 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 51c | 447.05$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.24 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…37b4backed Over | 53c | 377.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.05 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 50c | 309.98$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.99 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Under | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…5945backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe08…10ebbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 49c | 196$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 51c | 196$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e50…a09dbacked Over | 53c | 185.13$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.12 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Under | 49c | 125$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Over | 51c | 125$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce32…a145backed Under | 48c | 106.25$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…28f4backed Under | 48c | 106.25$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da6…53edbacked Over | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…b8ffbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…fb23backed Over | 52c | 84.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a6…3cd9backed Over | 52c | 80.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43af…da96backed Over | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 52c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…48b7backed Over | 52c | 45.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…8f51backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 51c | 36.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a3…8593backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…ae66backed Over | 52c | 25.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9a…f491backed Over | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…8c9bbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 244.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Lakers won
- Lakers vs. JazzLakers won
- Lakers vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 125.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 126.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 245.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 246.5Under won
- Spread: Lakers (-8.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Lakers (-9.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.