NBA · resolved market

Spread: Lakers (-9.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ad22623e45ab222305d45058f401086a9dbaf80452d2dc9a3ce9cd86974401a

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Jazzof Lakers, Jazz
Resolved: Nov 24, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $75,068
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $75,305

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,068 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc660…bd28backed Jazz	50c	22,989$11,495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,494.42	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz	50c	20,170$10,059 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,110.09	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Lakers	50c	16,914$8,464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,464.18	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Lakers	50c	15,864$7,932 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,931.91	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Lakers	51c	7,709$3,931 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,931.42	87	44.8%39 W · 48 L	-5.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Lakers	49c	6,825$3,344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,344.25	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jazz	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,500	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Lakers	50c	4,500$2,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,250	477	48.8%233 W · 244 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Lakers	51c	3,137$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,600	131	53.4%70 W · 61 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Jazz	50c	2,727$1,364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,363.58	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Lakers	50c	2,500$1,249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,249.25	180	47.8%86 W · 94 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Jazz	52c	1,923$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$923.08	653	39.5%258 W · 395 L	-24.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Jazz	50c	1,674$837 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$837	698	52%363 W · 335 L	+10.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6b2…6d9dbacked Lakers	49c	1,565$767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$767	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Lakers	48c	1,549$744 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$743.5	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6b4…1014backed Lakers	49c	1,450$710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$710.47	47	29.8%14 W · 33 L	-5.0wins	-0.11per pick	40cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jazz	51c	1,288$657 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$631.36	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb340…58c9backed Lakers	51c	1,200$612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$612	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.0wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd234…90b0backed Jazz	49c	1,200$588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$612	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz	46c	1,082$494 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$587.68	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Lakers	49c	1,020$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	284	48.2%137 W · 147 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Jazz	51c	1,011$511 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$499.75	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1161…3aa8backed Lakers	55c	909.09$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	36	63.9%23 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Jazz	50c	777$389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$388.5	84	45.2%38 W · 46 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lakers	36c	689.07$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.47	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Lakers	49c	600$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294	85	47.1%40 W · 45 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Jazz	65c	599.98$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.99	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e13…732fbacked Jazz	50c	570$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285	66	48.5%32 W · 34 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Jazz	49c	501.79$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253.79	2,265	43.4%982 W · 1,283 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd702…2052backed Jazz	49c	500$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d30…c94fbacked Lakers	51c	500$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-3.3wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e84…768ebacked Jazz	50c	416$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208	136	44.9%61 W · 75 L	-7.7wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Jazz	50c	334.8$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.4	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Lakers	55c	300$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	666	45.9%306 W · 360 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Jazz	67c	299.29$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.92	285	37.9%108 W · 177 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Lakers	52c	288.46$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	78	43.6%34 W · 44 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Jazz	48c	254.83$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.51	528	44.7%236 W · 292 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Jazz	54c	252$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.92	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Jazz	50c	241$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.31	344	51.5%177 W · 167 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Jazz	52c	203.85$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.85	59	49.2%29 W · 30 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Lakers	52c	196.25$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	261	50.2%131 W · 130 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Lakers	52c	193.66$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	470	48.5%228 W · 242 L	-18.6wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1331…523dbacked Lakers	64c	140.39$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.32	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50bb…9aa6backed Lakers	50c	125$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.5	119	51.3%61 W · 58 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Jazz	51c	111$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.39	249	46.6%116 W · 133 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04e5…b8ffbacked Lakers	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	+3.3wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Lakers	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	377	50.4%190 W · 187 L	+12.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Jazz	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	235	50.2%118 W · 117 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5da9…582ebacked Jazz	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Jazz	51c	98$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.02	514	51.9%267 W · 247 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae4d…fc45backed Lakers	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	116	26.7%31 W · 85 L	-16.8wins	-0.15per pick	41cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x895d…4970backed Lakers	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	126	46.8%59 W · 67 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Jazz	52c	91.54$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.94	160	45%72 W · 88 L	+9.7wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Jazz	34c	89.78$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59	185	54.1%100 W · 85 L	+8.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Lakers	51c	79$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.29	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Jazz	50c	75$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.5	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Lakers	51c	75$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.25	1,113	41.6%463 W · 650 L	-10.0wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Jazz	50c	72$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.24	876	47.5%416 W · 460 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Jazz	52c	65$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.2	499	38.9%194 W · 305 L	-23.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Jazz	54c	64.81$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.81	264	39.4%104 W · 160 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Jazz	50c	64$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	1,028	48.5%499 W · 529 L	+27.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Lakers	69c	61.48$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.7	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Jazz	50c	60$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	1,451	49.7%721 W · 730 L	+18.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Lakers	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	249	55%137 W · 112 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Jazz	49c	60$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.6	658	55.6%366 W · 292 L	+27.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Jazz	50c	60$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.2	331	47.4%157 W · 174 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Jazz	37c	58.67$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.96	634	27.3%173 W · 461 L	-19.7wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d4e…8163backed Lakers	49c	55$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.1	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34da…367fbacked Jazz	49c	51$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.01	75	57.3%43 W · 32 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Jazz	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	158	38.6%61 W · 97 L	-11.1wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Jazz	50c	48$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.16	312	50.3%157 W · 155 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Jazz	50c	47.99$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.15	479	48%230 W · 249 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e4e…dc93backed Lakers	50c	42$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	52	48.1%25 W · 27 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45fb…1289backed Lakers	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	+3.9wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x213c…618ebacked Lakers	49c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	25	52%13 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Jazz	50c	39.3$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.65	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Jazz	54c	37.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	498	52.4%261 W · 237 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xffb2…3bb5backed Jazz	54c	33.62$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.46	48	60.4%29 W · 19 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Jazz	50c	32$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16	623	49.6%309 W · 314 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Jazz	50c	32$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16	233	48.9%114 W · 119 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Jazz	50c	32$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16	717	47.6%341 W · 376 L	+18.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5256…24a5backed Jazz	50c	29.8$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.75	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa916…4f30backed Lakers	48c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	158	41.1%65 W · 93 L	-12.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Jazz	50c	24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.08	288	52.8%152 W · 136 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Jazz	50c	24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.08	245	52.7%129 W · 116 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Jazz	50c	24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.08	146	48.6%71 W · 75 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Jazz	50c	24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.08	452	51.1%231 W · 221 L	+20.2wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Jazz	50c	24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.08	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Jazz	50c	24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.08	107	51.4%55 W · 52 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Jazz	50c	24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.08	87	55.2%48 W · 39 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Jazz	50c	24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.08	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Jazz	50c	24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.08	153	52.3%80 W · 73 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Jazz	50c	24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.08	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	-4.3wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Jazz	50c	24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.08	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Jazz	50c	24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.08	65	52.3%34 W · 31 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Jazz	50c	24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.08	366	51.4%188 W · 178 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Jazz	50c	24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.08	260	40%104 W · 156 L	-7.8wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Jazz	50c	24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.08	158	54.4%86 W · 72 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Jazz	50c	24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	734	45.5%334 W · 400 L	+8.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Jazz	50c	24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.08	150	51.3%77 W · 73 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Lakers (-9.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event