Stocks · resolved market
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa70bafc37fa76c6a07a3cc2322ffe6c61487bf2ea2128f2496890b745bb378a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $273,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $273,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 291 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72fa…93b6backed Yes | 43c | 26,034$11,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,165.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 7c | 6,116$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 5c | 4,943$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4f…c2f1backed No | 69c | 4,782$3,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 57c | 4,542$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb29…573fbacked No | 70c | 4,154$2,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 20c | 4,072$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.45 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -56%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x103d…c852backed Yes | 2c | 3,926$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…b339backed Yes | 16c | 3,700$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5a…2e45backed No | 64c | 3,458$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 3,183$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe440…97c0backed Yes | 2c | 2,651$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed Yes | 1c | 2,505$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10c5…ac4ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,476$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed Yes | 28c | 2,259$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.87 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 2,032$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 92 | 4.3%4 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed No | 53c | 1,934$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,842$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +124.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 30c | 1,819$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.08 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…467bbacked No | 58c | 1,734$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5147…f078backed Yes | 1c | 1,721$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…0139backed Yes | 1c | 1,706$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc259…4513backed Yes | 37c | 1,686$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…43f0backed Yes | 1c | 1,652$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 40c | 1,601$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.46 | 221 | 29%64 W · 157 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…ba9ebacked No | 58c | 1,600$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…325bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,475$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.19 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Yes | 40c | 1,460$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.47 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6822…219bbacked No | 61c | 1,300$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…f5dfbacked Yes | 16c | 1,286$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.69 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 8c | 1,275$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.23 | 416 | 8.7%36 W · 380 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbc…6902backed Yes | 2c | 1,262$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49bb…aaf9backed Yes | 41c | 1,230$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 1,227$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4728…6426backed No | 64c | 1,191$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…7cd3backed No | 58c | 1,191$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.04 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 2c | 1,116$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked No | 53c | 1,102$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.71 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 54c | 1,096$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 75c | 1,071$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.25 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7081…818bbacked No | 61c | 1,055$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f90…3f1ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,028$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf042…8d10backed No | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 68c | 1,004$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.4 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x487b…5915backed No | 49c | 980.21$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde63…46c2backed No | 55c | 971.54$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.58 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…75d8backed Yes | 27c | 956.41$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…d749backed Yes | 1c | 863.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c3…7dd2backed No | 59c | 859.38$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.76 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 39c | 849.66$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.56 | 1,444 | 8.8%127 W · 1,317 L | -53.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 54c | 825.22$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.89 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked Yes | 41c | 811.65$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed No | 63c | 801.05$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 44c | 788.66$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 63c | 777$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.02 | 274 | 29.2%80 W · 194 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 34c | 766.93$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.41 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab44…a5b9backed Yes | 2c | 761.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 12c | 755.28$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.01 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 2c | 744.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 3c | 741.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 59c | 739.92$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 8c | 735.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc5…bfb7backed No | 52c | 695$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41fb…bc6fbacked Yes | 59c | 657.82$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed Yes | 42c | 648.78$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…7324backed No | 52c | 610.11$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed No | 52c | 597.68$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf779…d36fbacked Yes | 42c | 596.23$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.6 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…5f0dbacked No | 80c | 595$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 23c | 587.84$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 13c | 560.14$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.32 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.46per pick | 18cpaid | +320.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcc26…2f27backed Yes | 2c | 558.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 14c | 544.11$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.66 | 111 | 7.2%8 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…a568backed No | 43c | 526.14$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.77 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed No | 65c | 505.8$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.54 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 45c | 483.91$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.62 | 85 | 24.7%21 W · 64 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3908…8a80backed Yes | 37c | 480.17$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed No | 53c | 474$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 38c | 471.01$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.94 | 90 | 26.7%24 W · 66 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee44…1f54backed No | 63c | 462.72$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 65c | 452.14$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 9c | 446.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 70 | 4.3%3 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dc…a504backed No | 55c | 441.06$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…44f9backed Yes | 44c | 436.93$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ff…ee4ebacked No | 68c | 431$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53b0…4daabacked Yes | 44c | 400$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…0c3cbacked Yes | 27c | 367.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402e…5d12backed No | 63c | 363.39$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed No | 51c | 352.57$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 51c | 350.49$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.16 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…00f9backed Yes | 55c | 348.99$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…4a87backed No | 54c | 348.98$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.83 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 51c | 340.72$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…620abacked Yes | 31c | 320.64$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…2d28backed Yes | 52c | 287.97$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…728abacked No | 63c | 285.33$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 60c | 283.42$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.43 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519e…7b80backed No | 67c | 259.55$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked No | 69c | 259.49$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 22c | 258.9$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?this page
- Will Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Ciena (CIEN) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will Pure Storage (PSTG) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.