Stocks · resolved market
Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc5010c6f08146d966cb776dcd79c302168b583e8bcebb8cb8dffb7f4df26a9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb855…6749backed Yes | 10c | 6,403$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…c987backed Yes | 2c | 4,597$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba77…5a5dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,520$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 4c | 2,161$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 1c | 2,114$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…3ca2backed Yes | 1c | 1,737$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 1,683$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c4…f08ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,577$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 9c | 1,561$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.42 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -56%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc4…74a5backed Yes | 2c | 1,514$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 1,325$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 92 | 4.3%4 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2021…47e0backed Yes | 23c | 1,300$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fb…7e77backed Yes | 18c | 1,170$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 1c | 1,108$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 416 | 8.7%36 W · 380 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…f5dfbacked Yes | 12c | 1,102$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.14 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8534…ff06backed Yes | 2c | 1,099$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817f…bf28backed Yes | 3c | 1,057$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 967.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5a…2e45backed No | 80c | 946.17$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff27…f845backed Yes | 21c | 848$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…61dabacked Yes | 20c | 808$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe197…a4cebacked Yes | 18c | 782$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 11c | 721.32$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.42 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebd…e0cabacked Yes | 17c | 676.72$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9113…6329backed Yes | 23c | 650.83$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 17c | 593.21$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.66 | 111 | 7.2%8 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a8…206abacked Yes | 5c | 575$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 2c | 553.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 546.55$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.53 | 1,443 | 8.8%127 W · 1,316 L | -53.1wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b71…cb46backed Yes | 9c | 541.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf779…d36fbacked Yes | 22c | 539.5$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.87 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac0…b014backed Yes | 24c | 530$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f42…3d3dbacked Yes | 21c | 530$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 76c | 503.09$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4a67backed Yes | 25c | 490$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x072c…0b1fbacked No | 80c | 480$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x109d…9274backed No | 80c | 448$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bd…e897backed No | 79c | 425$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde29…2c8cbacked No | 79c | 423$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47b…5a9ebacked No | 80c | 360$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e46…bb13backed No | 79c | 330$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 5c | 318.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c3…7dd2backed Yes | 33c | 298.01$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x590f…d809backed Yes | 26c | 287.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 7c | 273.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 70 | 4.3%3 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 6c | 269.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 7c | 265.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ba…ee13backed Yes | 24c | 265$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…75d8backed No | 73c | 248$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336f…c31ebacked Yes | 16c | 237$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked No | 76c | 226.13$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 26 | 88.5%23 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…325bbacked Yes | 21c | 221.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 12c | 221.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -16.7wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebb2…c640backed Yes | 15c | 206.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa75e…5fecbacked No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 12c | 191.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ea…5f43backed Yes | 24c | 180.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 77c | 156.72$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 75 | 77.3%58 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 25c | 138.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 27c | 132.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…7592backed Yes | 27c | 108.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 80c | 106$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 863 | 38.1%329 W · 534 L | -43.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 19c | 104.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 274 | 29.2%80 W · 194 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 10c | 102.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +146.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 34c | 100.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 22c | 96.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 85 | 24.7%21 W · 64 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3792…3a3abacked Yes | 18c | 96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked No | 75c | 91$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 20c | 90.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 32c | 85.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.18 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 76c | 81.09$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 221 | 29%64 W · 157 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d73…43f6backed Yes | 19c | 80.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…c204backed Yes | 22c | 75.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Yes | 24c | 70.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde63…46c2backed Yes | 34c | 66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 70c | 65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Yes | 32c | 64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 19c | 63.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb69b…f08ebacked Yes | 35c | 61.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…40d7backed Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa575…f2d0backed Yes | 21c | 58.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfde3…9e2cbacked No | 75c | 57.84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc168…5024backed Yes | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4f…2d2bbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…7cd3backed Yes | 23c | 47.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…9fdcbacked No | 76c | 46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fb…229cbacked Yes | 24c | 46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…c336backed Yes | 31c | 43.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…8616backed No | 76c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5390…565cbacked Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…5066backed No | 60c | 39.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f7dcbacked No | 79c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27e…a9d0backed No | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +83%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd817…ac33backed No | 78c | 25.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 57c | 22.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47e7…7c61backed No | 67c | 20.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +9.9wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +268%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?this page
- Will Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Ciena (CIEN) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will Pure Storage (PSTG) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?No won
- Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.