TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LYONof Cloud9, LYON
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$413,480
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$509,171

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $413,480 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 257 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Cloud950c37,525$18,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,732.142,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked LYON41c33,330$13,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,549.6818961.4%116 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61e9…cb1bbacked LYON78c25,110$19,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,404.476149.2%30 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Cloud945c22,496$10,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,156.8869756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed Cloud960c21,736$13,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,047.7248157.6%277 W · 204 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed Cloud940c10,438$4,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,144.2214644.5%65 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed LYON70c10,345$7,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,084.1925446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd812…2558backed LYON50c10,000$4,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,028.9121137%78 W · 133 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x858e…1c3bbacked Cloud952c8,266$4,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,305.66237.1%23 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0338…04b7backed Cloud966c8,000$5,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,267.252245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked LYON63c7,923$4,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,941.1925751%131 W · 126 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Cloud949c5,999$2,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,921.561,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Cloud961c5,555$3,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,397.5731153.4%166 W · 145 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked LYON49c5,062$2,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,595.6153640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33c…4c38backed LYON61c4,930$3,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,904.1224065%156 W · 84 L+24.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked LYON47c4,587$2,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,425.551,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Cloud949c3,998$1,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,944.771,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Cloud967c3,776$2,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,521.991,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Cloud940c3,610$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.9328827.4%79 W · 209 L-30.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe62d…18b4backed Cloud977c3,545$2,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,747.285860.3%35 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Cloud929c3,450$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00025447.6%121 W · 133 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Cloud927c3,400$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.5744047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed LYON41c3,389$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.521,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Cloud949c3,271$1,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,609.3923547.7%112 W · 123 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed LYON37c3,236$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,027.033,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed LYON48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.3750569.9%353 W · 152 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d4d…fe4abacked LYON59c2,860$1,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.558359%49 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked LYON47c2,857$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.921,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked LYON59c2,576$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.672,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked LYON47c2,374$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.851,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Cloud928c2,244$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.344335.4%157 W · 286 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked LYON40c2,200$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.982,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ce6…9469backed Cloud948c2,087$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9961450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83af…4084backed Cloud960c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20028350.5%143 W · 140 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb326…7075backed Cloud91c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017410.9%19 W · 155 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed LYON60c1,785$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.0863161.2%386 W · 245 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Cloud937c1,748$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.2413525.2%34 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked LYON47c1,494$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.630545.2%138 W · 167 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked LYON62c1,431$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.242,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked LYON47c1,426$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.5345344.6%202 W · 251 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcad2…c9e4backed LYON66c1,353$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.3127248.9%133 W · 139 L-14.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Cloud960c1,348$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.561,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed LYON46c1,333$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.3543947.6%209 W · 230 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed LYON61c1,293$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.386556.9%37 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed LYON60c1,289$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.6815953.5%85 W · 74 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked LYON47c1,273$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.6837345%168 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Cloud930c1,244$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.1263546.6%296 W · 339 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Cloud944c1,225$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.162,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Cloud956c1,208$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.031,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed LYON50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60048353.4%258 W · 225 L-19.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a55…c349backed Cloud925c1,160$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.523826.3%10 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-35.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Cloud957c1,140$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.152,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed LYON50c1,108$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.0433143.8%145 W · 186 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked LYON37c1,100$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69215149%74 W · 77 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed LYON48c1,057$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.51,07926%281 W · 798 L-99.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed LYON39c1,030$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.310044%44 W · 56 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed Cloud944c1,026$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.613444%59 W · 75 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5860…020bbacked LYON76c1,000$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.1213360.2%80 W · 53 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Cloud951c999.99$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51022035.9%79 W · 141 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed LYON39c988.98$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.91,13143.1%487 W · 644 L+0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked LYON46c899.98$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.9911950.4%60 W · 59 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked LYON62c863.81$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.871,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed LYON77c856.5$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.4913658.8%80 W · 56 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea7b…5b6dbacked LYON40c855.8$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.2828211%31 W · 251 L-19.9wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-52.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4637…a422backed Cloud933c851.04$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2831241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xafda…0fccbacked Cloud980c830$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66416654.8%91 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Cloud950c805.2$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.61,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x661e…81d6backed Cloud955c755.97$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41829856.4%168 W · 130 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed LYON35c750$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.59245.7%42 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Cloud960c728.19$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.9127447.8%131 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked LYON59c727.78$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29795847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Cloud964c705.62$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.016852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked LYON63c700$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26012763%80 W · 47 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf4f0…6718backed LYON54c691.22$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.417169%49 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Cloud957c670$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.2556650%283 W · 283 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Cloud974c667.34$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.331,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed LYON75c659.82$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.8239447.2%186 W · 208 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c5…6394backed LYON41c623.07$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.888726.4%23 W · 64 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Cloud966c606.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012450%62 W · 62 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed LYON56c601.3$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.571,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Cloud956c600$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33386649.7%430 W · 436 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Cloud928c600$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16824240.9%99 W · 143 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc5…1135backed Cloud950c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30044042%185 W · 255 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Cloud942c599.06$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.81,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed LYON53c576.09$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.091,24152.7%654 W · 587 L+5.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Cloud949c554.93$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.259935.4%35 W · 64 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed LYON36c550$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.514936.9%55 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00f5…7b42backed Cloud961c539.74$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.244445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Cloud961c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30595951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked LYON36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32050848.4%246 W · 262 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a0…d7a5backed LYON63c498.99$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.929252.2%48 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed Cloud969c491.88$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.7326453.8%142 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e7…705bbacked Cloud944c441.93$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.454070%28 W · 12 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked Cloud922c430.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.911,00949.2%496 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa794…1361backed Cloud927c425.26$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.8210624.5%26 W · 80 L+0.5wins0.00per pick24cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed LYON51c415.84$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.731,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Cloud961c409.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.148143.2%208 W · 273 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Cloud957c400$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22960053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79ac…9c87backed LYON41c400$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2356838.2%26 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09cf…d623backed Cloud927c400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1083652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.