Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f74f4fa88c6f2822f605dbe47f1771cece8f4f0783f59d61b0bfff06bd42bc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LYONof Cloud9, LYON
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8165…f688backed LYON | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Cloud9 | 53c | 5,544$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,938.35 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Cloud9 | 52c | 3,820$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.4 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked Cloud9 | 53c | 3,400$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.97 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed LYON | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed LYON | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Cloud9 | 52c | 2,481$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 131 | 36.6%48 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Cloud9 | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked LYON | 60c | 1,321$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.88 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Cloud9 | 55c | 1,080$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked LYON | 46c | 985.56$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.68 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Cloud9 | 50c | 810$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed LYON | 45c | 599.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 403 | 47.4%191 W · 212 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed LYON | 41c | 500$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed LYON | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed LYON | 47c | 330$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.9 | 146 | 50%73 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Cloud9 | 43c | 279.57$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed LYON | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked LYON | 47c | 201$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.59 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Cloud9 | 51c | 135.78$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Cloud9 | 55c | 112.73$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cloud9 | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked LYON | 53c | 85.41$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd5…8f67backed LYON | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…6ac0backed Cloud9 | 65c | 80$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ad…d823backed Cloud9 | 54c | 55.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…4c2cbacked Cloud9 | 60c | 49.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Cloud9 | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 362 | 44.2%160 W · 202 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Cloud9 | 49c | 39.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 323 | 45.8%148 W · 175 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf4…3f9bbacked LYON | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked LYON | 35c | 33.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cloud9 | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…c9cbbacked Cloud9 | 52c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0f…110ebacked LYON | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…db9dbacked Cloud9 | 60c | 24.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Cloud9 | 51c | 22.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe902…eda4backed Cloud9 | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 2?LYON won
- Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)LYON won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In PlayoffsLYON won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerCloud9 won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 4 WinnerLYON won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.