Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x735b7773589f5a0efb8a097e256d0a5195e2471156ed95b7788483a36bb1ee3a

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 19, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $213,875
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $201,354

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,875 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 334 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x849c…4009backed Yes	2c	32,608$696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$695.58	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f6d…b4c7backed Yes	2c	12,682$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.88	124	29.8%37 W · 87 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	52c	5,519$2,848 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,847.78	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked No	53c	4,422$2,337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,084.37	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	10c	3,250$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.18	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Yes	42c	2,998$1,249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,248.91	233	21%49 W · 184 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4323…7b54backed Yes	68c	2,767$1,876 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,875.95	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.68per pick	68cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd317…025abacked Yes	40c	2,760$1,115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,114.99	220	23.6%52 W · 168 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5286…025cbacked Yes	6c	2,358$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.36	50	8%4 W · 46 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	2c	2,000$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc35a…b9f2backed Yes	33c	1,985$649 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$648.86	55	29.1%16 W · 39 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	39c	1,881$728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$727.75	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79c1…497dbacked No	54c	1,816$987 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$829.02	30	60%18 W · 12 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	67cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes	34c	1,615$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.24	115	9.6%11 W · 104 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0d7…2305backed Yes	45c	1,504$678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$678.43	184	24.5%45 W · 139 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x986e…88d7backed Yes	33c	1,387$459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459.42	108	11.1%12 W · 96 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Yes	1c	1,382$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.79	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	+25.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes	27c	1,297$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	348	33.3%116 W · 232 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes	1c	1,250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	238	19.3%46 W · 192 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-25%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cca…c831backed Yes	10c	1,168$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38e8…db25backed Yes	7c	1,149$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.31	48	16.7%8 W · 40 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e66…0d3abacked Yes	24c	1,146$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	334	15.6%52 W · 282 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d38…d383backed Yes	37c	1,073$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.62	71	21.1%15 W · 56 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+13%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa44d…7ea0backed Yes	2c	1,065$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.35	53	9.4%5 W · 48 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked Yes	37c	1,045$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.73	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	53c	1,018$543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$542.88	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes	56c	1,000$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	86	16.3%14 W · 72 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0888…e6e3backed Yes	31c	999.99$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	154	13%20 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	5c	999.96$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	60c	987.84$596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$596.37	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a5e…ef7abacked Yes	53c	962.71$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510.68	94	26.6%25 W · 69 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x475b…e152backed Yes	19c	931.22$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.23	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-34%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x804c…1658backed Yes	34c	909.6$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.56	103	21.4%22 W · 81 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe5e…8054backed Yes	19c	891.49$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.83	92	22.8%21 W · 71 L	+7.2wins	+0.08per pick	15cpaid	+151.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf667…2abcbacked Yes	7c	880$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.6	126	19%24 W · 102 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	56c	867.26$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.7	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ba2…12e0backed No	43c	837.55$364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$473.54	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	+15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06d6…1bb8backed Yes	45c	821.43$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.63	61	18%11 W · 50 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd93…a22bbacked Yes	54c	769.86$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.62	198	19.7%39 W · 159 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d3…8e8fbacked Yes	14c	755.91$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107	131	16.8%22 W · 109 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+57.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No	56c	715.89$402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.29	195	50.3%98 W · 97 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fe7…4362backed Yes	16c	700$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	90	15.6%14 W · 76 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1355…6591backed Yes	17c	645.5$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.2	235	9.4%22 W · 213 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda1d…6192backed Yes	41c	640.22$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	32	18.8%6 W · 26 L	-5.1wins	-0.16per pick	35cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	75c	631.8$472 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.56	315	65.1%205 W · 110 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5eb7…1e0dbacked Yes	14c	604.34$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.61	58	12.1%7 W · 51 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x304b…57b2backed Yes	3c	600$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	84	9.5%8 W · 76 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	+105%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe130…2f27backed Yes	43c	600$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256	241	15.4%37 W · 204 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	52c	582.02$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.98	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4478…02a4backed Yes	10c	569.49$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.23	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	28cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7789…a280backed Yes	22c	552.45$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.83	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1488…e492backed Yes	59c	550$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.56	179	24.6%44 W · 135 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed Yes	22c	524.61$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.21	37	24.3%9 W · 28 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8930…393bbacked Yes	19c	515.14$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.86	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+27.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa793…1776backed Yes	44c	510.25$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.19	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	22cpaid	-81.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb89f…f169backed Yes	57c	501.65$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.94	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9f1…137cbacked Yes	60c	500.54$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	8c	500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51f3…7e7fbacked Yes	17c	500$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	39	10.3%4 W · 35 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f91…0689backed Yes	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	6cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…872bbacked Yes	54c	500$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272	41	9.8%4 W · 37 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes	17c	499.98$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	50	36%18 W · 32 L	+3.6wins	+0.07per pick	29cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a3a…1550backed Yes	15c	494.58$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.19	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a01…01cebacked Yes	49c	461.66$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.1	44	13.6%6 W · 38 L	-5.6wins	-0.13per pick	26cpaid	-74.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a44…e4e8backed Yes	15c	450$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.5	486	9.7%47 W · 439 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x983c…385dbacked Yes	57c	449.5$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.13	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe258…be54backed Yes	10c	444.99$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.7	44	18.2%8 W · 36 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	+27.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca3f…0f89backed Yes	55c	441.49$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.5	79	16.5%13 W · 66 L	-5.5wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e7f…8c3cbacked Yes	47c	434.4$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.3	50	16%8 W · 42 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x389a…cf3dbacked Yes	38c	432.56$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.83	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	19c	423.63$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.59	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1208…fe1bbacked Yes	19c	411.66$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	45	17.8%8 W · 37 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	+28%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c2e…5e69backed Yes	7c	400.02$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.88	431	26.2%113 W · 318 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4ad2…e985backed Yes	14c	400$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	148	8.8%13 W · 135 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa713…4485backed Yes	11c	400$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	342	15.8%54 W · 288 L	+20.9wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+32%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf78a…9f65backed Yes	28c	400$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.38	133	12.8%17 W · 116 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes	12c	399.99$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	360	18.6%67 W · 293 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc736…1fc2backed Yes	30c	396.87$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.52	47	31.9%15 W · 32 L	+3.8wins	+0.08per pick	24cpaid	+75.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9ef…4df2backed Yes	15c	395.07$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	42	16.7%7 W · 35 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc419…e588backed Yes	33c	350$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.3	34	23.5%8 W · 26 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8593…c931backed Yes	49c	349.08$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.38	130	20%26 W · 104 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b27…7bfdbacked Yes	17c	344.99$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.8	44	22.7%10 W · 34 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	16cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f07…3f68backed Yes	59c	339.97$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes	15c	333.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	+2.5wins	+0.15per pick	9cpaid	+156.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe867…e441backed Yes	56c	325.85$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.63	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.5wins	-0.25per pick	45cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e2f…55cabacked Yes	18c	312.47$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.6	117	30.8%36 W · 81 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+57.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c25…8d52backed Yes	26c	312.3$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	194	8.8%17 W · 177 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ccd…5330backed Yes	7c	300$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	190	20.5%39 W · 151 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	11c	300$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8aa2…bd41backed Yes	16c	300$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	161	19.9%32 W · 129 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3161…daf5backed Yes	18c	300$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	77	18.2%14 W · 63 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	+74.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d48…2e2abacked Yes	15c	300$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	56	8.9%5 W · 51 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	+54.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…f80dbacked Yes	51c	300$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152	186	31.7%59 W · 127 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f1…3dccbacked Yes	16c	299.99$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	63	25.4%16 W · 47 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfab8…c3b0backed Yes	56c	299.99$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.99	41	14.6%6 W · 35 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	+87.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4626…f192backed No	49c	283.93$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.52	64	20.3%13 W · 51 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	28c	270$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.4	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8327…66dfbacked Yes	56c	268.56$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+2.2wins	+0.16per pick	41cpaid	+34.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd971…e600backed Yes	47c	266.28$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x915b…2729backed Yes	52c	264.94$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.99	122	18.9%23 W · 99 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?this page
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?Yes won
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event