TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd971…e600

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fed Rates at 52 out of 100; worst Commodities at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST2263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.74
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.42
Hornets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.83
Cavaliers vs. Clippersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+88.7%+$13.3
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+42.9%+$10.71
Lakers vs. Netsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Pelicans vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+40.8%+$6.13
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+51.5%+$7.73
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Nets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Celtics vs. Netsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+31.6%+$9.47
Suns vs. Hawksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Pistons vs. Pelicansbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+38.9%+$11.67
All 22 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+402.6%+$60.38
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+81%+$29.34
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+56.3%+$30.32
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$88
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+132.6%+$46.4
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$125
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.