Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32b6c15ef4f4dd89abd048a4e01d97ba3c984d6097667d5b95c8fd4d9e77714c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,837,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,807,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,837,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 571 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0914…9c93backed Yes | 2c | 243,873$3,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,831.38 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…238cbacked No | 54c | 40,894$21,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,991.71 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fe…8509backed Yes | 0c | 39,197$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…f6b8backed Yes | 18c | 35,943$6,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,555.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4645…f60fbacked Yes | 2c | 24,940$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.74 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 41c | 24,479$9,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,992.02 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c1…d9e9backed Yes | 41c | 24,423$10,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,079.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…fd1bbacked Yes | 0c | 21,017$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 80 | 0%0 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e4…e4e3backed Yes | 7c | 20,245$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df9…71d8backed Yes | 0c | 18,903$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 32c | 18,818$6,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,013.11 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…7967backed No | 76c | 18,622$14,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,458.1 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Yes | 0c | 18,017$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 71 | 0%0 W · 71 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 0c | 13,666$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.33 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8172…abeabacked Yes | 20c | 12,976$2,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,658.85 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45b…4c57backed Yes | 11c | 12,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…4bf3backed Yes | 33c | 11,293$3,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,764.57 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x863e…d0dabacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eee…eeb6backed Yes | 6c | 10,707$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.5 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,605$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 79 | 2.5%2 W · 77 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -96%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 10,528$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 10,367$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.98 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 10,136$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 0c | 9,700$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee1c…9f06backed Yes | 2c | 9,268$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…7251backed Yes | 3c | 9,248$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.47 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6044…be8ebacked Yes | 2c | 7,946$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe821…b27ebacked Yes | 27c | 7,605$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbd…fe0bbacked Yes | 3c | 7,400$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.76 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd505…2774backed Yes | 4c | 7,383$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked No | 74c | 7,000$5,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…28d5backed Yes | 1c | 6,566$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 6,557$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.79 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad45…b8c9backed Yes | 3c | 6,208$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.18 | 93 | 7.5%7 W · 86 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…9274backed Yes | 2c | 6,100$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.2 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 3c | 6,000$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…505abacked No | 67c | 5,910$3,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 5c | 5,795$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.11 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49a…36ccbacked No | 59c | 5,227$3,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.07 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ed…a7c7backed No | 77c | 5,067$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bc…577dbacked No | 50c | 5,067$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,526.73 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 67c | 4,937$3,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.5 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d2…05a8backed Yes | 4c | 4,770$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.83 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e54…4521backed Yes | 33c | 4,748$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.42 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 17c | 4,747$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.06 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +197.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cf…db1ebacked Yes | 0c | 4,723$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 2cpaid | +4,034.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd669…f5e7backed Yes | 4c | 4,516$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.06 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | +10.4wins | +0.17per pick | 4cpaid | +300.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e4…354ebacked Yes | 27c | 4,437$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2001…0b3dbacked Yes | 2c | 4,351$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…33c1backed Yes | 5c | 4,148$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 103 | 15.5%16 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe82e…f89cbacked No | 50c | 4,012$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…6d9cbacked Yes | 7c | 4,009$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74c9…d064backed Yes | 2c | 4,000$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…1268backed Yes | 37c | 3,981$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.21 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd648…2badbacked Yes | 1c | 3,756$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f4…f246backed Yes | 20c | 3,717$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 2c | 3,704$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 22c | 3,700$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac5d…f429backed No | 80c | 3,598$2,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e7…992bbacked Yes | 7c | 3,321$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.14 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84a9…1801backed Yes | 1c | 3,234$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb127…5431backed Yes | 17c | 3,104$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dba…b54dbacked No | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.92 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccf…a8cebacked Yes | 2c | 3,030$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…6b0bbacked No | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…9cf6backed Yes | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7f…5321backed Yes | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…7b88backed Yes | 26c | 3,000$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…d824backed Yes | 2c | 2,986$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 2c | 2,985$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +8.5wins | +0.15per pick | 3cpaid | +321.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 20c | 2,648$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.75 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2d…f266backed Yes | 1c | 2,632$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…55c8backed Yes | 21c | 2,596$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x620a…ec6dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,595$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 3c | 2,593$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.57 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed5e…7c2dbacked No | 79c | 2,545$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…1e46backed No | 80c | 2,508$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.97 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…b83abacked No | 78c | 2,505$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3bd…193abacked Yes | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 18cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 33c | 2,492$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.77 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,386$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 2,378$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.84 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked No | 74c | 2,356$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.5 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 40c | 2,350$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4302…43f0backed Yes | 2c | 2,313$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x905c…68fdbacked Yes | 6c | 2,200$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Yes | 42c | 2,166$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.96 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…308bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,128$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.79 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Yes | 39c | 2,073$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.07 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…15a0backed Yes | 6c | 2,054$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 35cpaid | +247%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e48…95c7backed Yes | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…2b0cbacked Yes | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed No | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0733…6a9fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7e…23ebbacked No | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 23 | 91.3%21 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 69cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…8aa4backed Yes | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…65dcbacked Yes | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…e94abacked Yes | 47c | 1,995$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27e7…995ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,970$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc504…7a4cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,963$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.65 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in January?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.