Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71b931b2dcc19f6e436e5baebff5f89771d89fcf2618ec8d09842e8d9ebecc95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $814,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $802,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $814,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde24…25a8backed Yes | 1c | 72,970$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.28 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 29,700$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 23,424$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0914…9c93backed Yes | 5c | 22,203$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.58 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 4c | 19,896$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.07 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 18,375$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 79 | 2.5%2 W · 77 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -96%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 3c | 13,514$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.99 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 12,019$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…f5dcbacked Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 1cpaid | +2,154.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 10,856$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.9 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 4c | 9,995$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.1 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 4c | 9,880$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.34 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x554f…2869backed Yes | 2c | 8,250$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28c0…e924backed Yes | 6c | 7,916$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.66 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 5c | 7,722$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd94a…fc5dbacked Yes | 1c | 7,620$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08e5…8d07backed Yes | 1c | 7,620$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb76f…970cbacked Yes | 4c | 6,197$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 0c | 5,534$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 4c | 4,368$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.62 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…f756backed Yes | 3c | 3,587$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.16 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +349.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 2c | 3,567$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.21 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +8.5wins | +0.15per pick | 3cpaid | +321.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 4c | 3,220$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.28 | 85 | 5.9%5 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 3c | 3,001$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.44 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Yes | 8c | 2,621$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ed…10b4backed Yes | 3c | 2,579$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…46acbacked Yes | 0c | 2,561$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…ff44backed Yes | 6c | 2,407$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.33 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d2…05a8backed Yes | 4c | 2,353$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.31 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…fdfcbacked Yes | 6c | 2,202$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6523…89d8backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc778…8c92backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0adf…444ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x298d…ddb9backed Yes | 2c | 1,976$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 4c | 1,973$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 63 | 6.3%4 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 2c | 1,945$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c37…e508backed Yes | 3c | 1,923$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,894$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…054dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,820$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c9…d064backed Yes | 1c | 1,784$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…632bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,720$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 1c | 1,588$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 66 | 0%0 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,500$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 151 | 9.9%15 W · 136 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…b464backed Yes | 1c | 1,448$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,441$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 6c | 1,392$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.89 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0502…7547backed Yes | 2c | 1,368$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 10cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 5c | 1,360$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 146 | 3.4%5 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,119$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3e…abeabacked Yes | 4c | 1,071$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…e2c0backed Yes | 2c | 1,060$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe014…18b5backed Yes | 2c | 1,055$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 2c | 1,032$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +197.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…6cecbacked Yes | 5c | 1,016$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 6c | 1,005$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 4c | 1,003$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 107 | 3.7%4 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb28…b7acbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3aa…01a0backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 4c | 998.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 120 | 3.3%4 W · 116 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 3c | 942.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cd…f566backed Yes | 4c | 933.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +105%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…33c1backed Yes | 5c | 931.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 15.5%16 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 5c | 897.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 149 | 9.4%14 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…2036backed Yes | 5c | 893.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e9…fa50backed Yes | 3c | 804.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe596…e66ebacked Yes | 2c | 803.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a47…aa53backed Yes | 5c | 800$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 797.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…d6a0backed Yes | 5c | 784.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…7b88backed Yes | 4c | 726.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…bb47backed Yes | 4c | 719.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 66 | 15.2%10 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadbb…efbdbacked Yes | 1c | 679.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x984d…b682backed Yes | 3c | 633.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…2773backed Yes | 2c | 625$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Yes | 3c | 580$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Yes | 3c | 575.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +183.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5332…fab3backed Yes | 2c | 552.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5214…9196backed Yes | 4c | 517.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb37…ff74backed Yes | 5c | 499.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -74%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…4a78backed Yes | 4c | 479.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94de…74bcbacked Yes | 4c | 465.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Yes | 5c | 425.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31f9…24bbbacked Yes | 5c | 364.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba3…9cabbacked Yes | 4c | 335.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b3…4203backed Yes | 4c | 310.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7c…20edbacked Yes | 4c | 299.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4e…c1fcbacked Yes | 4c | 260.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x100f…b0f0backed Yes | 4c | 245.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff2…9070backed Yes | 8c | 235.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…37b9backed Yes | 4c | 232.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 5c | 225$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d9…3c5cbacked Yes | 5c | 221$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c45…110dbacked Yes | 5c | 216.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6d…7104backed Yes | 8c | 196.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in January?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in January?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.