Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe65e70a3433c8200a505459b415278535e58e8b333d44b5b0a7bc55333f6001e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,703,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,768,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,703,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 34c | 188,017$64,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123,949.86 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5138…4fe5backed No | 0c | 60,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…f656backed No | 3c | 56,505$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed No | 0c | 43,194$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…1469backed No | 0c | 34,659$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…fd1bbacked No | 0c | 32,206$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 80 | 0%0 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df9…71d8backed No | 0c | 31,100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…cc11backed Yes | 4c | 27,462$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,342.89 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked No | 0c | 23,329$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 71 | 0%0 W · 71 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 5c | 21,500$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,512.4 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde27…b9a5backed No | 1c | 14,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…aababacked Yes | 5c | 13,896$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,263.2 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 11cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 12,741$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,349.14 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 11,850$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,349.38 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd7…7842backed Yes | 23c | 11,717$2,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,072.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd64…f9dabacked Yes | 3c | 11,479$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,092.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +883.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 3c | 10,236$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,956.07 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588e…bd98backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a6…5715backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b4…1b2ebacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 16c | 10,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4994…2d6dbacked Yes | 3c | 9,927$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,626.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 20cpaid | +1,108.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f8…6b0abacked Yes | 7c | 9,898$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,221 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +452%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc3…edf0backed Yes | 8c | 9,766$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,017.02 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x147e…88f8backed No | 0c | 9,333$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe64e…2143backed Yes | 11c | 9,053$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,053.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…aa21backed No | 0c | 9,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…ac48backed No | 0c | 8,600$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d54…e1f8backed Yes | 2c | 7,770$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,621.38 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +1,064.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…4bd5backed No | 0c | 6,951$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfc…98e0backed No | 0c | 6,023$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 1c | 5,931$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,893.1 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfca2…a745backed Yes | 5c | 5,770$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,469.94 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +275.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…692fbacked Yes | 4c | 5,238$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,033.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 12cpaid | +419.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x944f…28dabacked Yes | 6c | 5,191$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,897.58 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +139.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes | 4c | 5,101$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,904.98 | 94 | 27.7%26 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x393d…af3fbacked Yes | 3c | 5,010$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,864.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.97per pick | 3cpaid | +3,348.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5b…f344backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.65per pick | 19cpaid | +1,105.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…789ebacked Yes | 3c | 4,815$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,654.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +756.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 3c | 4,679$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,542.25 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 2c | 4,404$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,306.24 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +8.5wins | +0.15per pick | 3cpaid | +321.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5841…cd1dbacked No | 0c | 4,333$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d5…1b17backed Yes | 26c | 4,324$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,217.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.65per pick | 15cpaid | +878.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…1c37backed Yes | 2c | 4,211$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,130.53 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.52per pick | 25cpaid | +743.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…f756backed Yes | 3c | 4,056$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,924.93 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +349.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…0ae7backed Yes | 3c | 4,010$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,887.44 | 68 | 16.2%11 W · 57 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +273.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 3c | 3,952$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,823.7 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 3,792$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,591.57 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0e…dacbbacked Yes | 3c | 3,602$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,497.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 2cpaid | +1,624.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 8c | 3,383$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,116.3 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +197.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…12f7backed Yes | 5c | 3,293$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,143.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +636.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd272…fa58backed Yes | 2c | 3,240$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.97per pick | 3cpaid | +4,549.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd669…f5e7backed Yes | 3c | 3,051$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,944.62 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | +10.4wins | +0.17per pick | 4cpaid | +300.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x74fa…7ff1backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,923.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +1,335.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…524cbacked Yes | 7c | 2,994$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,783.91 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 17c | 2,933$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.13 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0568…1c5dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,912$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,842.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +629.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Yes | 4c | 2,910$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,794.74 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe46…721cbacked Yes | 7c | 2,801$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +216.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…019ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,782$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.25 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.29per pick | 12cpaid | +234%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,782$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700.15 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6c…c5b8backed Yes | 1c | 2,735$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,716.65 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 2cpaid | +1,039%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5a…ac3ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,688$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,671.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.99per pick | 1cpaid | +16,566.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…a85ebacked Yes | 14c | 2,670$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.84 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…3480backed Yes | 8c | 2,371$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,176.35 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6be…43c9backed Yes | 4c | 2,338$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.83 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +117%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df2…01afbacked Yes | 4c | 2,300$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.8 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 4cpaid | +599.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,111$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.59 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.27per pick | 10cpaid | +549.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8a72…0de9backed Yes | 5c | 2,047$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +1,024.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd444…67d6backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +762.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,978$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.13 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee32…50c4backed Yes | 3c | 1,950$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +2,350%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…f049backed Yes | 5c | 1,858$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.9 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 14cpaid | +209.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e3…58edbacked Yes | 2c | 1,825$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.41 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +535.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…cb70backed Yes | 7c | 1,816$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +936.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…043ebacked No | 78c | 1,786$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.01 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 44cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cf…db1ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,654$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 2cpaid | +4,034.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60bc…1db3backed Yes | 4c | 1,652$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +651.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…f5dcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,642$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 1cpaid | +2,154.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…6c61backed Yes | 2c | 1,632$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.5 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,598$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.91 | 151 | 9.9%15 W · 136 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f02…1395backed Yes | 2c | 1,551$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.04 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +332.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.48 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b34…9e82backed Yes | 6c | 1,430$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59c9…975cbacked Yes | 14c | 1,398$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +125.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ef…410bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,392$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 8cpaid | +475.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…42eebacked Yes | 11c | 1,388$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 2c | 1,282$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.18 | 98 | 5.1%5 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80b6…aecbbacked No | 61c | 1,273$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd86c…d09abacked Yes | 4c | 1,260$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.33 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 5cpaid | +131.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,253$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.2 | 85 | 5.9%5 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 5c | 1,240$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.31 | 149 | 9.4%14 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338d…6d82backed Yes | 10c | 1,176$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.47 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 7c | 1,163$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.5 | 63 | 6.3%4 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Yes | 6c | 1,159$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.68 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +567.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 8c | 1,132$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.11 | 107 | 3.7%4 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 8c | 1,112$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.8 | 146 | 3.4%5 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae9e…cfe1backed No | 68c | 1,063$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.09 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…d6afbacked Yes | 1c | 1,057$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.99per pick | 1cpaid | +7,448.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,056$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.56 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in January?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.