Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92b010fa84a42118ff755242e31f896915e812d0c20f7eb528f6be47c99d8083
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,995,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,123,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,995,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 460 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 33c | 282,132$91,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190,136.03 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed No | 72c | 52,233$37,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,594.41 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde27…b9a5backed No | 2c | 38,994$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.73 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…7314backed No | 72c | 31,066$22,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,363.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…7967backed Yes | 53c | 26,912$14,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,626.02 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b78…4d2fbacked No | 79c | 23,953$18,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,824.45 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -5.9wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 3c | 23,898$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,133.36 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d5…1b17backed Yes | 15c | 19,386$2,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,484.21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.65per pick | 15cpaid | +878.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…4ae1backed Yes | 12c | 18,701$2,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,426.87 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb33…2dcebacked No | 0c | 17,520$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…f756backed Yes | 7c | 16,136$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,961.48 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +349.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed No | 0c | 16,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…2b28backed No | 0c | 14,830$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…ce9bbacked Yes | 13c | 12,366$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,793.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4564…4c23backed No | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 8c | 10,900$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,018.97 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked No | 0c | 10,390$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 71 | 0%0 W · 71 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd7…7842backed Yes | 58c | 10,241$5,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,261.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed4f…e25abacked No | 1c | 9,801$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 20c | 9,557$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,662.25 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked No | 62c | 9,331$5,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,797.27 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Yes | 13c | 9,006$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,849.09 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +567.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 8,628$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,051.72 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe46…721cbacked No | 1c | 8,496$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +216.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc3…edf0backed Yes | 14c | 8,466$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,255.76 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…ba88backed Yes | 48c | 7,230$3,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,744.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf986…bc7dbacked No | 29c | 6,378$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.89 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa162…bab2backed Yes | 55c | 6,233$3,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,816.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f02…1395backed Yes | 24c | 6,027$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,602.54 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +332.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c3…4d61backed Yes | 17c | 6,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fa…7ff1backed No | 44c | 6,000$2,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,641.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +1,335.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…f4cfbacked Yes | 3c | 5,706$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,556.07 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 7cpaid | +504%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81f4…b6dcbacked Yes | 15c | 5,522$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,689.53 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 6c | 5,463$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,154.26 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…043ebacked No | 37c | 5,458$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.05 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 44cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 5,364$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.82 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…b1c1backed No | 0c | 4,992$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c1…d9e9backed Yes | 20c | 4,900$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,909.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccee…f36dbacked No | 1c | 4,830$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 10c | 4,510$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,056.34 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…6361backed No | 5c | 4,500$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc891…a35ebacked Yes | 18c | 4,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,674.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…5701backed Yes | 13c | 4,325$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,745.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 12cpaid | +452.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…9783backed No | 77c | 4,115$3,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160.57 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 14c | 4,034$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,464.68 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +197.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60c1…01ccbacked Yes | 12c | 3,886$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,408.72 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…019ebacked Yes | 9c | 3,860$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500.34 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.29per pick | 12cpaid | +234%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…d20ebacked Yes | 6c | 3,842$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,611.48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7f…2352backed Yes | 20c | 3,474$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,779.09 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfca2…a745backed Yes | 24c | 3,360$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,559.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +275.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f47…38c7backed No | 3c | 3,358$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.58 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 11cpaid | +464.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd82f…75ffbacked Yes | 17c | 3,246$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,685.9 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 20cpaid | +158.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 6c | 3,119$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,922.9 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +8.5wins | +0.15per pick | 3cpaid | +321.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xadb4…3214backed Yes | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.38per pick | 20cpaid | +516.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…f7a8backed No | 6c | 3,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes | 2c | 3,000$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,951.29 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5025…dd30backed Yes | 68c | 2,900$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc504…7a4cbacked Yes | 16c | 2,881$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,408.58 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0568…1c5dbacked Yes | 16c | 2,743$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +629.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae9e…cfe1backed No | 70c | 2,720$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.54 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes | 33c | 2,639$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.06 | 94 | 27.7%26 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 33c | 2,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbf…9c71backed Yes | 28c | 2,457$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.87 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b53…3598backed Yes | 9c | 2,456$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +114%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…692fbacked Yes | 12c | 2,389$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,093.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 12cpaid | +419.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…0600backed Yes | 12c | 2,379$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 16cpaid | +169.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked Yes | 12c | 2,229$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 5cpaid | +189.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…789ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,228$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169.97 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +756.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 19c | 2,112$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.91 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaae2…dbdabacked Yes | 66c | 2,077$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.65 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c6b4backed Yes | 20c | 2,043$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.12 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…524cbacked Yes | 15c | 2,006$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.39 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…15aebacked No | 1c | 2,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +421.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e18…8b91backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd517…5f34backed Yes | 26c | 1,977$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.85 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +236.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe14b…1ad3backed No | 50c | 1,966$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf328…abc4backed No | 74c | 1,907$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.62 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd515…a514backed No | 72c | 1,866$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +181.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…1c37backed Yes | 16c | 1,859$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.44 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.52per pick | 25cpaid | +743.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…325bbacked No | 26c | 1,840$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.21 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd669…f5e7backed Yes | 5c | 1,828$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.47 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | +10.4wins | +0.17per pick | 4cpaid | +300.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x38b5…c869backed No | 28c | 1,802$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2711…8bc1backed Yes | 2c | 1,799$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.98per pick | 2cpaid | +4,344.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…e832backed Yes | 23c | 1,712$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +336.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb301…79ddbacked Yes | 11c | 1,697$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.42 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 5cpaid | +164.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,662$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.86 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6be…43c9backed Yes | 38c | 1,599$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.41 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +117%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd272…fa58backed Yes | 4c | 1,597$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.97per pick | 3cpaid | +4,549.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…37a5backed Yes | 23c | 1,594$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +331.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 38c | 1,588$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.96 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc13…57a8backed Yes | 23c | 1,577$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +335.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…6573backed Yes | 18c | 1,567$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.9 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe821…b27ebacked Yes | 14c | 1,511$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0baf…390abacked Yes | 12c | 1,442$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +157.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c44…fca3backed Yes | 21c | 1,415$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +238.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca5…8727backed Yes | 9c | 1,408$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.03 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +280.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed No | 72c | 1,400$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x502c…c96bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,399$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.27 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 8cpaid | +219.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 6c | 1,356$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.88 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in January?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.