TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8a01…01ce

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Cricket, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 55 out of 100; worst Tweets at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT4761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Cricket — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$26.71
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+85.1%+$167.85
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$5,429Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,428.85
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,015Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,014.56
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$899Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$899.45
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,451Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,550.99
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$6,279Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,279.01
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore - Completed match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$78.94
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$786Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$785.52
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,275Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$2,725.05
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,399.89
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.97
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,240Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,759.79
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Gujarat Titansbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,549.99
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,619Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,825.94
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+78.3%+$198.51
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titansbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,877Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$2,506.43
Pakistan Super League: Hyderabad Kingsmen vs Islamabad Unitedbacked Islamabad United · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10.97
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,214Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+121%+$3,890.41
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,850Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$2,150
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,598Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$1,829.85
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,015Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,015.08
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,392Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,391.73
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,446Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$3,089.34
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST4413.6%6 W · 38 L-5.6wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-74.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Tweets — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$18.14
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+87.2%+$24.97
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$44.58
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$68.06
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+68.5%+$141.9
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$228.1
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$746Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+45.7%+$341.26
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$21.31
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.19
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$41.15
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$187.51
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$84.49
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$60.18
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$32.59
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$52.84
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$75.95
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,020Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+136.9%+$2,765.83
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$690.06
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$136.53
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+122.4%+$158.5
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+166.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Ningbo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+166.6%+$707.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$179.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks Team Total: O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$94.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Stranger Things 5" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (December 16, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$252.71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.