Cricket · resolved market
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore - Completed match?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x020eeecc8a80d628c6e244b45b0eb6dddf29b68e5e67014b39121cc4f142dd65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked Yes | 77c | 3,082$2,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.96 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 44c | 2,268$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.86 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked No | 32c | 2,118$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62ef…1f02backed No | 33c | 1,052$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.35 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0c…ca14backed Yes | 58c | 948.18$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.37 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +12.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…2381backed No | 14c | 868.83$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.64 | 121 | 22.3%27 W · 94 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Yes | 56c | 465.99$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.37 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Yes | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 10c | 399.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a01…01cebacked Yes | 79c | 369.98$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0793…15e8backed Yes | 78c | 184.9$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ae…8d48backed Yes | 56c | 119.64$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…ea18backed No | 18c | 111.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…01babacked Yes | 74c | 108.75$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa04e…85bfbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…d3d0backed Yes | 56c | 71.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2289…6728backed No | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ae…07b8backed No | 33c | 45.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 39cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 75c | 38.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 46c | 28.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore - Completed match?this page
- Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers BangaloreLucknow Super Giants won
- Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore - Who wins the toss?Royal Challengers Bangalore won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.