Cricket · resolved market
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore - Who wins the toss?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7415cbd99a8fb8846affb28508ecf94e9c3375dab8128db844b2e4c2769d15ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royal Challengers Bangaloreof Lucknow Super Giants, Royal Challengers Bangalore
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 49c | 1,353$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.84 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62ef…1f02backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 73c | 1,207$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.98 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd841…64cabacked Lucknow Super Giants | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Lucknow Super Giants | 14c | 924$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.35 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 77c | 901.92$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.59 | 222 | 41.9%93 W · 129 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…c0c8backed Lucknow Super Giants | 12c | 680.91$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.47 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 11cpaid | +179.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Lucknow Super Giants | 18c | 625$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Lucknow Super Giants | 18c | 625$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 18cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…e3b7backed Lucknow Super Giants | 49c | 609.96$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.88 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Lucknow Super Giants | 49c | 499.94$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.97 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed Lucknow Super Giants | 14c | 390.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.61 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d8…1ca6backed Lucknow Super Giants | 51c | 313.73$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 299.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.43 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7440…aca9backed Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 270$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…6deebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 51c | 203.08$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.51 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 10c | 160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Lucknow Super Giants | 49c | 135.82$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 154 | 29.9%46 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Lucknow Super Giants | 21c | 125$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 49c | 117.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.09 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b66…02edbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 52c | 116.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb7…f6e3backed Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 106.52$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.26 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3d…3d83backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 50c | 102.1$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 50c | 96.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5460…15b5backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 50c | 86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8739…8d70backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 51c | 78.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…97e0backed Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 72.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b2…5047backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 51c | 68.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…f863backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 50c | 67.08$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e6…671abacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac4d…066dbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 51c | 60.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…4947backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a94…a47abacked Lucknow Super Giants | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 48c | 50.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9e…4f07backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9af1…df2cbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…f21ebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 51c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1b…44d3backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 51c | 46.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a6…cbdabacked Lucknow Super Giants | 52c | 40.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2b…5750backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78a…5085backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a7…b119backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd41e…0bb7backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 50c | 25.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7625…af84backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47d…8c8abacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 51c | 23.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30df…beefbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0c…ca14backed Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +12.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e05…b4cdbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02e4…451cbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 51c | 19.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore - Who wins the toss?this page
- Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers BangaloreLucknow Super Giants won
- Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore - Completed match?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.