TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x257c…97e0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst Valorant at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.78
Counter-Strike: Players vs Alzon (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stagebacked Alzon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$24.06
Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$20.67
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+58%+$20.99
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stagebacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.8
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.59
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Wildcard (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Abacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$7.72
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 4 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.1
Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs eternal premium (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffsbacked Aurora Young Blood · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.8
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stagebacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.19
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs AM Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$18.86
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+72.4%+$47.04
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+28.2%+$15.12
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stagebacked los kogutos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+43.6%+$12.67
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+130.2%+$13.93
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stagebacked ASTRAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+40.2%+$8.07
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$8.9
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.27
All 19 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.32
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.91
LoL: LYON vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: LYON vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$18.27
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Team Phantasma - Game 2 Winnerbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.24
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Gbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$2.88
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$32.61
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.04
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.75
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$25.19
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+26.6%+$11.72
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs SU Esports (BO5) - TCL Playoffsbacked SU Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.3
All 12 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore - Who wins the toss?backed Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.06
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+83%+$9.07
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Riders - Who wins the toss?backed Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.78
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$30.43
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.72
T20 Series Hong Kong vs Kuwait: Hong Kong, China vs Kuwaitbacked Hong Kong, China · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11
T20 World Cup: India vs West Indiesbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.24
T20 World Cup: Zimbabwe vs West Indiesbacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
T20 World Cup: India vs South Africabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+255.9%+$28.15
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)backed Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+77.1%+$62.7
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+29.9%+$3.3
All 11 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$13.23
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$14.57
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.29
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs L1ga Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Bbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.64
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.14
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$19.44
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.17
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.08
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$8.09
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.69
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.