TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: 1win vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
1winof 1win, Team Lynx
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,544

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,544 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7a46…ab25backed 1win44c4,700$2,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,638.9712156.2%68 W · 53 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed 1win42c3,885$1,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,254.466662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Lynx56c3,631$2,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,032.6646649.8%232 W · 234 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf05c…66b9backed Team Lynx2c3,194$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9450%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed 1win49c2,573$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.1471454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked Team Lynx66c1,757$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.8318745.5%85 W · 102 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 1win40c1,349$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.442,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed 1win48c1,286$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.2451751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80ef…3973backed Team Lynx1c1,261$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Team Lynx36c1,178$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.7552243.9%229 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Team Lynx48c1,155$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.1633041.8%138 W · 192 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0133…64bcbacked Team Lynx78c1,076$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Team Lynx1c1,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141040%0 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Team Lynx35c857.22$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011648.3%56 W · 60 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked 1win64c799.98$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.9916665.7%109 W · 57 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…1805backed Team Lynx41c766.5$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Lynx64c763.84$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.592,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x823b…59e9backed Team Lynx76c757.11$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.16349.2%31 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed 1win50c718.13$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.11,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1win40c538.3$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.042,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Lynx33c499.99$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16581029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked 1win78c493.75$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.8153844.4%239 W · 299 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…3becbacked 1win51c487.85$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.851181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick53cpaid+56.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xef93…9f0dbacked 1win59c483.93$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.41425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed 1win32c453.82$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.2913027.7%36 W · 94 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c1e…e503backed Team Lynx44c423.45$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.32616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick50cpaid-67.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed 1win35c416.3$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.771,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49b…a5b8backed 1win57c408.59$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.38655.8%48 W · 38 L-0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed 1win42c366$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.939444.7%42 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x860e…a06dbacked 1win59c309$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.4716440.2%66 W · 98 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e63…9e38backed Team Lynx53c307.96$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.234561.2%211 W · 134 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Team Lynx12c300$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3718248.9%89 W · 93 L+15.0wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Team Lynx43c285.65$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12373554.7%402 W · 333 L-3.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x820e…9db7backed 1win59c280.51$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.01475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick53cpaid+40.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Team Lynx23c268.43$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1765337.2%243 W · 410 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a4…4249backed Team Lynx75c264.77$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.319664.8%127 W · 69 L+0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Lynx38c248.25$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6291356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked Team Lynx19c233.66$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0525147.4%119 W · 132 L+12.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed 1win50c226.33$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.971,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf1…796ebacked 1win59c220.54$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x34f6…eab4backed Team Lynx46c219.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb3e…9120backed Team Lynx46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006634.8%23 W · 43 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Team Lynx39c216.67$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.723354.5%18 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb557…7f28backed 1win56c202.66$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+71.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked Team Lynx56c197.49$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11035461.3%217 W · 137 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfde…258abacked Team Lynx50c175.33$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f05…85c5backed 1win65c153.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x597d…b97dbacked Team Lynx37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020738.6%80 W · 127 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed 1win23c130.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4372035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Team Lynx36c104$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4411841.5%49 W · 69 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Team Lynx56c102.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.534045.9%156 W · 184 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Team Lynx21c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.595841.1%394 W · 564 L+32.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked 1win23c96.68$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.592634.6%9 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed 1win70c91.5$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.546664.2%299 W · 167 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed 1win66c90.76$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7614251.4%73 W · 69 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d8d…f40dbacked Team Lynx59c90$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7544771.1%318 W · 129 L+27.1wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed 1win65c89.23$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.232268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7627…4404backed Team Lynx59c84.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014832.4%48 W · 100 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29f8…ffa9backed Team Lynx48c66.69$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0115033.3%50 W · 100 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked 1win32c64.97$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.184351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Team Lynx38c61.05$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.413636%49 W · 87 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb51f…b7dbbacked 1win36c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.45038%19 W · 31 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-26.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 1win56c55$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.260542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6d…f901backed Team Lynx37c54.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204533.3%15 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed 1win56c52.42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0644645.7%204 W · 242 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d11…a8e1backed 1win33c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.62138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed 1win55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.547951.8%248 W · 231 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24f1…537cbacked 1win75c49.83$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.624465.9%29 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x257c…97e0backed Team Lynx78c48.82$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.081080%8 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Team Lynx36c44.6$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Team Lynx37c42.39$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8130250%151 W · 151 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b69…e65dbacked Team Lynx34c41.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x387e…ca5dbacked Team Lynx48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011857.6%68 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Team Lynx51c36.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.352763%17 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x798e…4df3backed 1win47c36.03$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.122646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed 1win36c35.18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4178516.6%130 W · 655 L-135.4wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Team Lynx38c31.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.822532%8 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad2f…ac6abacked 1win74c30.77$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82290.9%20 W · 2 L+6.6wins+0.30per pick61cpaid+55.1%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x1f59…3a50backed Team Lynx73c27.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207261.1%44 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x571d…a673backed Team Lynx57c26.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+38.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Team Lynx47c23.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9434063.2%215 W · 125 L+38.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf0e7…8b69backed Team Lynx47c22.3$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed 1win64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.21,01345.5%461 W · 552 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5dc…0f05backed Team Lynx68c17.93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked 1win80c15.9$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.182751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.