Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Lynx (BO3) - CCT Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf94439aadd38805fb53f5a18f5e01b8c0843538d62376d2a22546da5f741baf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof 1win, Team Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,815 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Team Lynx | 0c | 5,522$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Lynx | 21c | 5,404$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.92 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Team Lynx | 22c | 2,819$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.15 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed 1win | 77c | 2,480$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.75 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2ec1backed Team Lynx | 13c | 2,315$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa886…4ae5backed Team Lynx | 34c | 1,962$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Lynx | 34c | 1,931$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.6 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca7…4ea0backed 1win | 66c | 1,748$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Lynx | 18c | 1,588$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.15 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Team Lynx | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.99 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a6…3d10backed Team Lynx | 13c | 1,382$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…d416backed Team Lynx | 26c | 1,237$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5384…365ebacked Team Lynx | 23c | 1,127$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…9c9cbacked Team Lynx | 23c | 1,020$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Team Lynx | 24c | 1,016$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.14 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked 1win | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…de5ebacked Team Lynx | 16c | 913$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859e…e962backed Team Lynx | 14c | 898$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 25cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca6…5fd5backed Team Lynx | 16c | 889$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f4…94c2backed Team Lynx | 34c | 879$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ee…4d31backed 1win | 66c | 731$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919f…5176backed 1win | 66c | 708$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked 1win | 71c | 702.16$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.16 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Lynx | 34c | 683.2$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.55 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d7…802fbacked Team Lynx | 34c | 627$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205a…0086backed 1win | 77c | 617.99$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…a6bcbacked Team Lynx | 13c | 580$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…6ee2backed 1win | 74c | 565$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…9b05backed 1win | 66c | 553.65$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked 1win | 66c | 530.3$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.3 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…116abacked 1win | 74c | 478$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Team Lynx | 30c | 476$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed 1win | 63c | 473$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.24 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba92…49e9backed Team Lynx | 13c | 438$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…0a60backed 1win | 66c | 410$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5354…d105backed Team Lynx | 13c | 404$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…762abacked 1win | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Team Lynx | 27c | 388.95$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.74 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…cfccbacked Team Lynx | 14c | 353$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…3becbacked 1win | 58c | 345.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.62 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed 1win | 66c | 337.75$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.84 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…f72abacked Team Lynx | 16c | 318$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed 1win | 64c | 312.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.44 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed 1win | 63c | 308.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.16 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…b98bbacked Team Lynx | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…a331backed Team Lynx | 16c | 294$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1460…8bb3backed Team Lynx | 34c | 287$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce07…9eddbacked Team Lynx | 25c | 284$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…3de2backed 1win | 64c | 283.88$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.57 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Team Lynx | 36c | 282.16$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.79 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfb…cd1cbacked Team Lynx | 35c | 275$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22dc…fadebacked 1win | 74c | 257$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 1win | 63c | 256$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.97 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed 1win | 63c | 253.97$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.97 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…13c1backed Team Lynx | 17c | 245.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c75…3e93backed 1win | 80c | 231$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Team Lynx | 21c | 220.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 1win | 75c | 218.28$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.64 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed 1win | 73c | 214.68$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Team Lynx | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Team Lynx | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked 1win | 66c | 194.73$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.63 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked 1win | 62c | 191.9$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.92 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Lynx | 28c | 180.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Team Lynx | 48c | 179.33$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.08 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…51b3backed 1win | 76c | 176.24$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Team Lynx | 27c | 174.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed 1win | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked 1win | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed 1win | 72c | 147.71$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5f…d393backed 1win | 63c | 142.86$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Lynx | 36c | 141.76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…2f10backed 1win | 65c | 139$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed 1win | 80c | 138.72$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 127 | 20.5%26 W · 101 L | -22.6wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…e208backed 1win | 66c | 136$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73dd…d555backed 1win | 65c | 135$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92fc…2f25backed 1win | 63c | 130.1$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a61…588bbacked Team Lynx | 17c | 130$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…4679backed Team Lynx | 41c | 129.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed 1win | 78c | 128.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aca…059fbacked 1win | 74c | 128$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +140%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Lynx | 23c | 127.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Team Lynx | 24c | 127.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed 1win | 64c | 126.56$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed 1win | 78c | 125$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 137 | 33.6%46 W · 91 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Lynx | 25c | 121.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed 1win | 63c | 119.93$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4129…ce4fbacked Team Lynx | 32c | 119.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked 1win | 76c | 117.35$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed80…214dbacked Team Lynx | 34c | 112$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Team Lynx | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa70c…b71abacked 1win | 77c | 108$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…88dabacked 1win | 57c | 107.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked 1win | 72c | 102.09$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed 1win | 63c | 101.59$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…8dcfbacked 1win | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked Team Lynx | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed 1win | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Lynx | 24c | 95.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…68f8backed 1win | 69c | 93.91$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 1win vs Team Lynx (BO3) - CCT Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: 1win vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winner1win won
- Dota 2: 1win vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner1win won
- Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Team Lynx (+1.5)1win won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.