TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc711…9c9c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
32
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 51 out of 100; worst NBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group Abacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.32
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group Bbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.29
Dota 2: AVULUS vs Team Shpilit (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group Abacked Team Shpilit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+210.7%+$365.86
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Winter Bear (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$73.38
Dota 2: Astini+5 vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group Bbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$62.26
Dota 2: Cloud Dawning vs Ivory (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stagebacked Ivory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$12.62
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Lynx (BO3) - CCT Playoffsbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.14
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$37.71
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Murphy Cassonebacked Murphy Cassone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.7
Miami Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.26
Miami Open, Qualification: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$105.68
Miami Open, Qualification: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Coleman Wongbacked Jack Pinnington Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Miami Open, Qualification: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Arthur Ferybacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Kigali 2: Marco Cecchinato vs Arthur Geabacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Cherbourg: Remy Bertola vs August Holmgrenbacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.47
Hersonissos 2: Federico Iannaccone vs Maxim Mrvabacked Maxim Mrva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+32%+$16.66
Cherbourg: Geoffrey Blancaneaux vs Borna Gojobacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
All 9 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-47.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Hyderabad Kingsmenbacked Hyderabad Kingsmen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.52
ODI Series Malaysia vs Bahrain: Malaysia vs Bahrainbacked Malaysia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Americas Qualifier B: Suriname vs Mexicobacked Suriname · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+174.6%+$170.46
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.52
National Cricket League, Women: South Australian Scorpions vs New South Wales Breakersbacked New South Wales Breakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$26.22
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistanbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.28
National T20 Cup: Sialkot Region vs Lahore Region Bluesbacked Lahore Region Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.95
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Americas Qualifier B: Suriname vs Caymanbacked Suriname · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+31.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Lightningbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$63.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.06
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.