Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Americas Qualifier B: Suriname vs Mexico
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fa337ac185db345fa3812650a82eb21125a5b315ecba640e244b406f092d4f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Surinameof Suriname, Mexico
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,602 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Suriname | 38c | 3,783$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.49 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Mexico | 40c | 1,535$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.31 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Mexico | 38c | 1,343$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.46 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | +16.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Mexico | 53c | 1,330$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.72 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2ec1backed Suriname | 20c | 871$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mexico | 20c | 856$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.85 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mexico | 44c | 813.95$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.72 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c84…9f97backed Mexico | 80c | 758$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…3bc1backed Suriname | 38c | 655$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Mexico | 64c | 553.76$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Mexico | 63c | 545$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.26 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Mexico | 58c | 540$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.45 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Suriname | 64c | 519.28$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.04 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c4…9310backed Suriname | 23c | 480$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +192%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Mexico | 62c | 478$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Suriname | 25c | 466.35$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.01 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Mexico | 63c | 463$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.15 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f9…7385backed Mexico | 77c | 455$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Suriname | 38c | 431.11$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.29 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Suriname | 29c | 426.61$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.88 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Mexico | 57c | 390$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Mexico | 61c | 375$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.46 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Suriname | 42c | 311.45$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.36 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Mexico | 62c | 306.67$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.83 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Suriname | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Mexico | 13c | 299.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Mexico | 63c | 294.38$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.01 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed Mexico | 34c | 282.35$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.39 | 222 | 41.9%93 W · 129 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…9c9cbacked Suriname | 36c | 268.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.46 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Mexico | 62c | 248.78$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.62 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Mexico | 51c | 222.83$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.99 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccf…cd66backed Suriname | 67c | 208.01$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.01 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd0…bf29backed Mexico | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Mexico | 62c | 179.03$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Suriname | 39c | 178$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.58 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…de5ebacked Suriname | 20c | 176$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2a…5df7backed Suriname | 23c | 176$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Suriname | 20c | 170.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.46 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3981…9e5dbacked Mexico | 17c | 170.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Mexico | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fde…095bbacked Mexico | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Mexico | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Suriname | 26c | 122.13$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.52 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…e9cabacked Mexico | 80c | 121$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Suriname | 54c | 107$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Suriname | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…dff7backed Suriname | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Mexico | 53c | 98.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.76 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…9d94backed Mexico | 38c | 96.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd6…1d0ebacked Mexico | 80c | 83$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2e…c90bbacked Mexico | 80c | 83$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Mexico | 69c | 72.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde58…b901backed Mexico | 41c | 68.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Suriname | 39c | 66.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22d8…682abacked Mexico | 62c | 66.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Mexico | 27c | 62.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 164 | 16.5%27 W · 137 L | -22.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x27e7…643fbacked Suriname | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Suriname | 38c | 57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Suriname | 41c | 54.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a80…3753backed Mexico | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Suriname | 39c | 53.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Mexico | 53c | 53.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…f9d3backed Suriname | 38c | 52.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Suriname | 38c | 51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Mexico | 72c | 47.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3468…754fbacked Mexico | 31c | 45.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Mexico | 44c | 41.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -45%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Suriname | 37c | 40.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed Suriname | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Suriname | 67c | 37.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Suriname | 35c | 33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…0082backed Suriname | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 288 | 30.2%87 W · 201 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Mexico | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c37…e7eebacked Mexico | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646f…c762backed Mexico | 76c | 24.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…385cbacked Suriname | 80c | 17.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Mexico | 67c | 15.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.