TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Hersonissos 2: Federico Iannaccone vs Maxim Mrva

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Maxim Mrvaof Federico Iannaccone, Maxim Mrva
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$104,137

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,137 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ba6…0f07backed Maxim Mrva70c14,285$9,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,285.4966949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Federico Iannaccone30c12,848$3,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,854.3934136.4%124 W · 217 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1391…1119backed Federico Iannaccone0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Federico Iannaccone0c4,200$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.82550.8%2 W · 253 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-68.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Federico Iannaccone23c2,516$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.032,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Federico Iannaccone30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60057645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Federico Iannaccone23c1,750$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.529533.6%99 W · 196 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Federico Iannaccone27c1,690$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.38248.8%40 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Maxim Mrva76c1,394$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.078,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Maxim Mrva75c1,309$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.966,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Maxim Mrva70c1,173$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.91,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Federico Iannaccone13c787.44$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.952,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Federico Iannaccone30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Federico Iannaccone16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8061924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7820…0b73backed Federico Iannaccone30c441.03$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.312055%11 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cff…83c4backed Maxim Mrva69c435$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.8527664.1%177 W · 99 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Federico Iannaccone32c425.53$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.1736333.9%123 W · 240 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Federico Iannaccone13c404.54$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.592,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Federico Iannaccone27c377.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.329,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x628a…6d8fbacked Federico Iannaccone7c357.87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2411347.8%54 W · 59 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Federico Iannaccone30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x733f…3d6fbacked Maxim Mrva69c312.04$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.731827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.5wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-44.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Federico Iannaccone26c292.15$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7767836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Federico Iannaccone15c289.51$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4328322.3%63 W · 220 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Federico Iannaccone30c267.3$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.191,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Federico Iannaccone30c256.37$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.914740.4%19 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Federico Iannaccone21c207.35$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.47,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa24…b2b4backed Federico Iannaccone31c201.09$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637549.3%37 W · 38 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7896…c2ffbacked Federico Iannaccone33c174.81$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.379453.2%50 W · 44 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Federico Iannaccone31c167.6$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5654434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf709…c75cbacked Federico Iannaccone16c167.17$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.563470.6%24 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Federico Iannaccone30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4532842.7%140 W · 188 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Federico Iannaccone31c149.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.51,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked Maxim Mrva69c144.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8933149.2%163 W · 168 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf479…c8d4backed Maxim Mrva77c143.63$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.662878.6%22 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Federico Iannaccone30c142.86$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.86742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Federico Iannaccone26c137.78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1984736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f05…a9b9backed Maxim Mrva78c120.45$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.053647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Federico Iannaccone21c114.13$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.592,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Maxim Mrva69c102.34$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.731,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Federico Iannaccone10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013113.7%18 W · 113 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Maxim Mrva69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3177967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f96…123cbacked Federico Iannaccone30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Maxim Mrva69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3138268.1%260 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked Maxim Mrva65c99.97$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9951539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0d7…ec4abacked Federico Iannaccone15c96.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadee…0af2backed Federico Iannaccone16c93.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Federico Iannaccone22c91.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.143,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x73d0…fa43backed Federico Iannaccone18c91.37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3710832.4%35 W · 73 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed Maxim Mrva74c89.76$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.373850%19 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed Federico Iannaccone31c88.47$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.418548.6%90 W · 95 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Federico Iannaccone21c86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.923,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Federico Iannaccone25c85.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6643058.6%252 W · 178 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e87…4891backed Federico Iannaccone31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Federico Iannaccone30c80.38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.261,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3578…f163backed Maxim Mrva69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4639872.4%288 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Maxim Mrva68c71.78$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9753457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc711…9c9cbacked Maxim Mrva76c68.78$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.66933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Federico Iannaccone31c67.74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Federico Iannaccone31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.51,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Maxim Mrva78c49.47$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8835559.4%211 W · 144 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e3…13d4backed Federico Iannaccone31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Federico Iannaccone30c48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.496844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Federico Iannaccone32c45.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.655238.5%20 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Maxim Mrva69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4824563.3%155 W · 90 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4a5…80d4backed Maxim Mrva71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2531853.5%170 W · 148 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7253…9190backed Federico Iannaccone30c41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.35032%16 W · 34 L-5.8wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-32.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Maxim Mrva69c40.19$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.314,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Maxim Mrva79c37.26$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.662,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Federico Iannaccone37c37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6924244.6%108 W · 134 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Federico Iannaccone31c36.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4853752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked Federico Iannaccone31c35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8518233.5%61 W · 121 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Maxim Mrva71c33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.571,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7789…d6c0backed Maxim Mrva68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.69455.3%52 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x674c…6dabbacked Maxim Mrva69c29.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.065455.6%30 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed Maxim Mrva71c27.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9834159.5%203 W · 138 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90c9…476dbacked Maxim Mrva79c25.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.198664%55 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff95…3c1cbacked Maxim Mrva73c23.77$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.365158.8%30 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Maxim Mrva71c21.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4765264.1%418 W · 234 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.