TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x674c…6dab

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 51 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT5455.6%30 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open, Qualification: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Arthur Ferybacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Zadar: Zsombor Piros vs Enrico Dalla Vallebacked Enrico Dalla Valle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+310.5%+$62.09
Murcia: Edas Butvilas vs Mikhail Kukushkinbacked Mikhail Kukushkin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+82.3%+$16.46
Phoenix: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Gironbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$91.11
Phoenix: Billy Harris vs Ethan Quinnbacked Billy Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cap Cana: Alexander Blockx vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Santiago: Thiago Monteiro vs Genaro Alberto Olivieribacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$63.33
Cap Cana: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adam Waltonbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Phoenix: Billy Harris vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Santiago: Nicolas Moreno De Alboran vs Genaro Alberto Olivieribacked Nicolas Moreno De Alboran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cherbourg: Jurij Rodionov vs Gauthier Onclinbacked Jurij Rodionov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Santiago: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Henrique Rochabacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Cherbourg: Remy Bertola vs Borna Gojobacked Borna Gojo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Santiago: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Gonzalo Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cherbourg: Murphy Cassone vs Pavel Kotovbacked Pavel Kotov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Hersonissos 2: Lorenzo Giustino vs Paul Jubbbacked Paul Jubb · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$10.49
Kigali 2: Marco Trungelliti vs Max Houkesbacked Max Houkes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.04
BNP Paribas Open: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$17.63
BNP Paribas Open: Elina Svitolina vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.96
Cap Cana: Luca Van Assche vs Raphael Collignonbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Cap Cana: Hubert Hurkacz vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
BNP Paribas Open: Arthur Fils vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$24.62
Cherbourg: Gauthier Onclin vs Lucas Poullainbacked Gauthier Onclin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs AVULUS (BO3) - CCT Group Abacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$6.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.