Tennis · resolved market
Phoenix: Billy Harris vs Ethan Quinn
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4aadcad47dcc91ad629229371a11d0b4f738702c9260f9f65f8cc183f3098ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ethan Quinnof Billy Harris, Ethan Quinn
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,406 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Billy Harris | 20c | 2,584$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 991 | 39.9%395 W · 596 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Billy Harris | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Billy Harris | 18c | 2,147$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.93 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Billy Harris | 22c | 1,700$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.99 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Billy Harris | 14c | 1,656$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.9 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…b46abacked Billy Harris | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 237 | 35%83 W · 154 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Billy Harris | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,853 | 48.4%897 W · 956 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Billy Harris | 16c | 1,187$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.09 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…ca81backed Billy Harris | 22c | 1,024$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.05 | 217 | 20.3%44 W · 173 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Billy Harris | 24c | 830$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.2 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Ethan Quinn | 76c | 798.76$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.86 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed Billy Harris | 16c | 784.88$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.58 | 430 | 62.3%268 W · 162 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Billy Harris | 6c | 665$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Ethan Quinn | 77c | 514.54$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.78 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Ethan Quinn | 78c | 512.8$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 285 | 52.3%149 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ethan Quinn | 79c | 508.19$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.67 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Ethan Quinn | 77c | 496.81$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.35 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Billy Harris | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 681 | 39.1%266 W · 415 L | -30.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…c927backed Billy Harris | 20c | 350$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Ethan Quinn | 79c | 318$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…d9c6backed Ethan Quinn | 77c | 317.12$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.94 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Billy Harris | 15c | 289.88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Billy Harris | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.48 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Billy Harris | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Billy Harris | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Billy Harris | 16c | 225$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Ethan Quinn | 78c | 213.42$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Billy Harris | 17c | 211.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 357 | 30.5%109 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Ethan Quinn | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Billy Harris | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Billy Harris | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 276 | 64.1%177 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebb…7e02backed Billy Harris | 19c | 199.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ed…72efbacked Billy Harris | 9c | 194.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 387 | 54.3%210 W · 177 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Billy Harris | 9c | 190.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Billy Harris | 32c | 187.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.15 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Billy Harris | 19c | 184.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Billy Harris | 17c | 150.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Ethan Quinn | 76c | 147.32$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Ethan Quinn | 78c | 143$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Ethan Quinn | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 855 | 68.3%584 W · 271 L | +24.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Billy Harris | 30c | 114.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ceb…1952backed Billy Harris | 10c | 111.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Billy Harris | 21c | 103.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Billy Harris | 20c | 101.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Billy Harris | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Ethan Quinn | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ab…9d9fbacked Billy Harris | 20c | 98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Billy Harris | 22c | 98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd86f…7934backed Billy Harris | 23c | 96.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Ethan Quinn | 75c | 93.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 900 | 64.3%579 W · 321 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Ethan Quinn | 77c | 92.5$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 1,673 | 53%887 W · 786 L | +45.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x674c…6dabbacked Billy Harris | 22c | 89.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Ethan Quinn | 79c | 77.23$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…9373backed Ethan Quinn | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 129 | 74.4%96 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Billy Harris | 31c | 70.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…f894backed Billy Harris | 23c | 67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 87 | 24.1%21 W · 66 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Ethan Quinn | 78c | 57.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Ethan Quinn | 62c | 51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…2cd8backed Ethan Quinn | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 244 | 61.1%149 W · 95 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf6…2971backed Ethan Quinn | 79c | 44.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Ethan Quinn | 78c | 35.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Ethan Quinn | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Ethan Quinn | 70c | 22.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 371 | 56.3%209 W · 162 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4437…503ebacked Ethan Quinn | 79c | 20.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f6…b8c6backed Ethan Quinn | 78c | 19.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 133 | 38.3%51 W · 82 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Ethan Quinn | 77c | 16.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 304 | 52%158 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Ethan Quinn | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Ethan Quinn | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked Ethan Quinn | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | -14.3wins | -0.12per pick | 74cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phoenix: Billy Harris vs Ethan Quinnthis page
- Harris vs. Quinn: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Harris vs QuinnQuinn won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.