Tennis · resolved market
Kigali 2: Marco Trungelliti vs Max Houkes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcde4b653a9e7bf78a0d6ca78b6df9afda86e707207c08ff38c677af5e0eff94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marco Trungellitiof Marco Trungelliti, Max Houkes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,626
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,626 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Max Houkes | 24c | 16,753$3,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,987.78 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Max Houkes | 40c | 11,818$4,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,731.68 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Max Houkes | 29c | 10,885$3,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,167.19 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Marco Trungelliti | 35c | 7,547$2,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,916.43 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Marco Trungelliti | 60c | 4,563$2,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.99 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Max Houkes | 15c | 3,751$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.72 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Max Houkes | 63c | 3,566$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.32 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Marco Trungelliti | 24c | 2,826$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.87 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Marco Trungelliti | 73c | 2,733$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.61 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Max Houkes | 36c | 2,393$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.62 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Max Houkes | 32c | 2,006$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.92 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc635…9052backed Marco Trungelliti | 32c | 1,569$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.4 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +12.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…d322backed Marco Trungelliti | 71c | 1,411$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.9 | 120 | 66.7%80 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f2…a822backed Marco Trungelliti | 65c | 1,290$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.18 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ce…99f6backed Marco Trungelliti | 26c | 1,145$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.98 | 179 | 36.9%66 W · 113 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Marco Trungelliti | 79c | 1,129$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.74 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x628a…6d8fbacked Max Houkes | 19c | 1,046$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.99 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…fbdabacked Max Houkes | 6c | 964.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 114 | 17.5%20 W · 94 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Max Houkes | 51c | 881.13$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.88 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Marco Trungelliti | 28c | 847.72$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.35 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5200…fee9backed Max Houkes | 31c | 788$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe402…d026backed Max Houkes | 31c | 770$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…5c87backed Max Houkes | 31c | 766$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed Marco Trungelliti | 70c | 753.63$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.63 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Max Houkes | 40c | 724.75$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.78 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…cfcdbacked Marco Trungelliti | 35c | 713.31$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.65 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5e…3c51backed Marco Trungelliti | 58c | 648.9$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.25 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked Marco Trungelliti | 40c | 614.01$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.01 | 331 | 49.2%163 W · 168 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Max Houkes | 33c | 599.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Marco Trungelliti | 32c | 587.25$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.33 | 357 | 30.5%109 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Marco Trungelliti | 35c | 566.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.5 | 307 | 41.7%128 W · 179 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7896…c2ffbacked Marco Trungelliti | 33c | 510.15$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.85 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Max Houkes | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Marco Trungelliti | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.12 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Marco Trungelliti | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Max Houkes | 31c | 455.53$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.73 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Max Houkes | 13c | 422.68$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcae5…f7b0backed Marco Trungelliti | 69c | 402$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac10…113cbacked Marco Trungelliti | 69c | 388$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7758…4a4fbacked Marco Trungelliti | 69c | 386$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf069…a2b5backed Marco Trungelliti | 69c | 386$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…7aacbacked Marco Trungelliti | 69c | 382$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6309…cf46backed Marco Trungelliti | 69c | 380$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Max Houkes | 42c | 370.85$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.11 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Max Houkes | 26c | 370.71$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.76 | 179 | 33%59 W · 120 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Marco Trungelliti | 61c | 363.25$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.43 | 332 | 56%186 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Marco Trungelliti | 69c | 362.31$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Marco Trungelliti | 29c | 341.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.96 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…4f54backed Max Houkes | 18c | 333.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.38 | 263 | 49.4%130 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Marco Trungelliti | 54c | 332.8$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.93 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Max Houkes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Max Houkes | 32c | 299.73$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.42 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8337…2352backed Marco Trungelliti | 32c | 281.28$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.27 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Marco Trungelliti | 47c | 260$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.78 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Marco Trungelliti | 48c | 259$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.91 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db1…d726backed Marco Trungelliti | 32c | 255.56$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.57 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Marco Trungelliti | 32c | 250.44$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.3 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Marco Trungelliti | 51c | 245.8$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.62 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Marco Trungelliti | 64c | 242.71$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Max Houkes | 29c | 241.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Max Houkes | 35c | 227.25$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.57 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d37…59b5backed Marco Trungelliti | 63c | 222.74$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Marco Trungelliti | 65c | 221.4$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.6 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Marco Trungelliti | 38c | 216.1$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.98 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…d5a3backed Max Houkes | 76c | 203.52$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.24 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd99e…67e3backed Marco Trungelliti | 70c | 203$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Max Houkes | 36c | 202.55$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.92 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Marco Trungelliti | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1a…bf0abacked Marco Trungelliti | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebb…7e02backed Max Houkes | 30c | 199.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Max Houkes | 34c | 199.96$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Max Houkes | 34c | 185.18$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.18 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Marco Trungelliti | 52c | 184.59$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.99 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Marco Trungelliti | 34c | 167.39$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.89 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Marco Trungelliti | 68c | 167$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Marco Trungelliti | 73c | 164.06$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.54 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Marco Trungelliti | 42c | 160.18$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.67 | 360 | 38.9%140 W · 220 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Marco Trungelliti | 73c | 155.05$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Marco Trungelliti | 64c | 154.17$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.78 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Marco Trungelliti | 57c | 140.43$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.34 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Marco Trungelliti | 68c | 140$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…3415backed Max Houkes | 76c | 137.16$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.19 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Marco Trungelliti | 76c | 136.96$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Max Houkes | 20c | 129.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Max Houkes | 35c | 128.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Max Houkes | 32c | 126.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Max Houkes | 32c | 122.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed Max Houkes | 22c | 117$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Max Houkes | 30c | 115.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x340c…e69cbacked Marco Trungelliti | 70c | 114.37$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.37 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Marco Trungelliti | 65c | 112.43$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 206 | 64.1%132 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bd…1f9cbacked Max Houkes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Max Houkes | 67c | 106.83$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.98 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Marco Trungelliti | 66c | 103.1$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 401 | 61.1%245 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6887…5a0cbacked Marco Trungelliti | 34c | 102.06$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.56 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Marco Trungelliti | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Marco Trungelliti | 53c | 99.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.91 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Max Houkes | 30c | 98.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Max Houkes | 26c | 98.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Max Houkes | 33c | 97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kigali 2: Marco Trungelliti vs Max Houkesthis page
- Trungelliti vs. Houkes: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Trungelliti vs. Houkes: Match O/U 22.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.