TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x340c…e69c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
42
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Serie A at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT3464.7%22 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Prostejov: Taro Daniel vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$113.33
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$97.22
Roland Garros ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$53.59
Alicante: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.02
Miami Open: Casper Ruud vs Ethan Quinnbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Murcia: Jesper de Jong vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$45.2
Set Handicap: Hurkacz (-1.5) vs Quinn (+1.5)backed Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Miami Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Colton Smithbacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Phoenix: Marcos Giron vs Ethan Quinnbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kigali 2: Marco Trungelliti vs Max Houkesbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+43%+$34.37
BNP Paribas Open: Arthur Fils vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$30.78
BNP Paribas Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
BNP Paribas Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$84.07
Set Handicap: Draper (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5)backed Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
BNP Paribas Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$61.65
Thionville: Sebastian Ofner vs George Loffhagenbacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Chile Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Dubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Mexican Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Mattia Belluccibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+49.3%+$24.63
Dubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+31.6%+$62.88
St. Brieuc: Matteo Martineau vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Rodionov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Mexican Open: Alexander Zverev vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Dubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Ugo Humbertbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Set Handicap: Marozsan (-1.5) vs Rinderknech (+1.5)backed Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$14.94
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+63.9%+$63.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.