Tennis · resolved market
St. Brieuc: Matteo Martineau vs Jurij Rodionov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0617adefbe2c863d265e54233fd5c433a3a03c1ffd8077c76f29a84523a294d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Martineauof Martineau, Rodionov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Rodionov | 41c | 5,938$2,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,455.32 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Martineau | 70c | 3,516$2,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.82 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Rodionov | 40c | 2,500$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.33 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Martineau | 59c | 2,149$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.86 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Rodionov | 37c | 2,068$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Rodionov | 42c | 1,682$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Rodionov | 50c | 1,303$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Rodionov | 24c | 1,227$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.7 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Martineau | 60c | 1,040$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.49 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…fc83backed Rodionov | 62c | 800$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked Rodionov | 26c | 761.63$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.76 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Rodionov | 17c | 715.24$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.22 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Martineau | 68c | 490.33$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.35 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Martineau | 56c | 435.26$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.81 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Rodionov | 68c | 409.95$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.28 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Martineau | 60c | 407.04$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.82 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Rodionov | 38c | 396.4$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Martineau | 43c | 364.95$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.9 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Martineau | 52c | 311.89$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.45 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Martineau | 32c | 310$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.23 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Martineau | 61c | 296.08$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.22 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Rodionov | 68c | 294.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Rodionov | 19c | 263.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Martineau | 29c | 246.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 145 | 41.4%60 W · 85 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Martineau | 41c | 244.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.05 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Rodionov | 26c | 236.46$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.29 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Martineau | 48c | 177.1$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.84 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Martineau | 49c | 162.43$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.46 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Martineau | 31c | 145.32$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.27 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Martineau | 32c | 140.41$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.48 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rodionov | 68c | 134.05$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.78 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Martineau | 32c | 123.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.65 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Rodionov | 36c | 103$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Rodionov | 33c | 101.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Martineau | 32c | 100.47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.32 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Rodionov | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.47 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…68dabacked Martineau | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +51%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Rodionov | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Martineau | 72c | 95$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Martineau | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Rodionov | 37c | 79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x340c…e69cbacked Rodionov | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…d9c6backed Rodionov | 66c | 68.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Martineau | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…40a0backed Martineau | 62c | 60.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Martineau | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Martineau | 34c | 48.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Rodionov | 28c | 48.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Martineau | 30c | 46.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Martineau | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Rodionov | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Rodionov | 71c | 42.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77e5…7b3ebacked Martineau | 59c | 40.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Martineau | 53c | 31.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94a…0ff1backed Martineau | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Rodionov | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Martineau | 73c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 275 | 46.5%128 W · 147 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x034d…dc28backed Rodionov | 80c | 19.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Rodionov | 67c | 19.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…dd73backed Rodionov | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.