TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Miami Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Colton Smith

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zachary Svajdaof Zachary Svajda, Colton Smith
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$159,752

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,752 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x33c9…6f9abacked Zachary Svajda53c10,322$5,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,815.8693055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe548…a51abacked Colton Smith8c9,012$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.594129.3%12 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-36.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Colton Smith40c6,485$2,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,612.752,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Zachary Svajda52c6,300$3,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,024.8152844.7%236 W · 292 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Colton Smith41c5,505$2,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,232.2511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Colton Smith40c4,641$1,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,851.843,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cb…58b4backed Colton Smith46c4,138$1,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,885.94911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick40cpaid-64.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x41e1…f9a8backed Zachary Svajda55c3,341$1,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,505.249744.3%43 W · 54 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b91…06c4backed Zachary Svajda64c3,116$1,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.029138.5%35 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Zachary Svajda70c2,530$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76046473.3%340 W · 124 L+27.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Colton Smith36c2,446$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.426,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Colton Smith36c2,189$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.3819938.2%76 W · 123 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Zachary Svajda55c2,043$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.551,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Colton Smith45c1,926$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.2220336%73 W · 130 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Colton Smith33c1,757$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.941,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Colton Smith30c1,702$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.5646932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b3a…834cbacked Zachary Svajda70c1,653$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Zachary Svajda70c1,627$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.2865558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x562b…f85fbacked Colton Smith50c1,578$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.171553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Zachary Svajda70c1,427$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.2348552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4458…67edbacked Colton Smith47c1,383$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x293c…8d8bbacked Zachary Svajda53c1,334$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.98475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Zachary Svajda79c1,333$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.296,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4738…4687backed Colton Smith57c1,253$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.937351.2%191 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Zachary Svajda53c1,229$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.3911530.4%35 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Zachary Svajda54c1,094$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.227040%28 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Zachary Svajda56c1,080$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.967963.3%50 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Colton Smith43c1,048$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.917,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2b…894bbacked Colton Smith49c1,043$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.07475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec3c…1e90backed Zachary Svajda51c1,036$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a73…e1adbacked Zachary Svajda46c1,035$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.1515826.6%42 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe700…ad90backed Colton Smith49c1,028$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.71666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Colton Smith49c1,021$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024844.8%111 W · 137 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01f5…5cfbbacked Colton Smith49c1,017$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Zachary Svajda53c967.68$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.681,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Zachary Svajda53c945.3$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.35549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x08d3…b418backed Zachary Svajda51c917.5$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.57560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Zachary Svajda70c900$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27046649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Colton Smith30c888.46$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.5478536.1%283 W · 502 L+36.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Colton Smith29c866.19$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.19,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4c7…a27ebacked Colton Smith28c865.43$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.324443.2%19 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Colton Smith37c824.29$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.9329533.6%99 W · 196 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Colton Smith46c794.66$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.361,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Zachary Svajda52c789.94$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.381,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe28e…bffbbacked Zachary Svajda53c749$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Zachary Svajda66c730$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.570652.7%372 W · 334 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Zachary Svajda64c709.7$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.8144038.4%169 W · 271 L-27.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Colton Smith21c691.3$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.252,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Zachary Svajda59c683$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.0338955.3%215 W · 174 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7658…2066backed Colton Smith48c622.67$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2cd…adafbacked Colton Smith49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Colton Smith42c602.33$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.634,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Zachary Svajda69c575.94$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.5427063.7%172 W · 98 L-0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4cb…9d44backed Zachary Svajda53c570$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+91.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Colton Smith49c556.83$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.5716648.8%81 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Zachary Svajda67c556.04$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.288,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94f8…e851backed Zachary Svajda72c553.75$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.752657.7%15 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb02…a7cbbacked Colton Smith47c542$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3cb…2526backed Zachary Svajda71c521.26$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.88475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea2…063fbacked Colton Smith47c516$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23d1…ec75backed Colton Smith47c513$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x128a…a1b0backed Zachary Svajda53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2354100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+104.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Colton Smith30c499.32$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.391,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…9f40backed Zachary Svajda62c484.94$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.9422949.8%114 W · 115 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Zachary Svajda62c481.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.0415252.6%80 W · 72 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Zachary Svajda69c455.21$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.124247.6%20 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa11d…72a8backed Colton Smith46c440$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.43435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Zachary Svajda58c438.02$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.531,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1903…5490backed Colton Smith47c425.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.2230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0020…4610backed Zachary Svajda55c423.57$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.372227.3%6 W · 16 L-6.1wins-0.28per pick55cpaid-52.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Colton Smith45c411.51$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.1811343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked Zachary Svajda55c400$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1794555.6%25 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Zachary Svajda56c393$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.6775748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Colton Smith32c381$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.921,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Zachary Svajda55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6437444.1%165 W · 209 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ecc…3953backed Zachary Svajda77c324.68$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Colton Smith31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10068350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec93…c828backed Zachary Svajda53c316$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdff2…3b8bbacked Colton Smith46c315.98$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.031258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d3…2d0fbacked Zachary Svajda71c311.68$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.394440.9%18 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc279…c76bbacked Zachary Svajda53c309$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.23450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4e6…7e67backed Zachary Svajda53c308$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.76742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+36.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b6…f9f7backed Zachary Svajda53c307$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Zachary Svajda54c306.5$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.812,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Colton Smith48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14414949.7%74 W · 75 L-13.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Colton Smith29c295.26$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.047,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a93…d824backed Zachary Svajda53c295$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.65475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c11…eea5backed Colton Smith47c263$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Colton Smith36c262.27$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Zachary Svajda58c258.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.621,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6adf…762abacked Colton Smith47c255$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Colton Smith4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024638.2%94 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Colton Smith32c231.87$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3736333.9%123 W · 240 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98eb…60f0backed Zachary Svajda59c226.98$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.0628147.3%133 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Colton Smith32c226.71$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1747453.2%252 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x855f…4954backed Zachary Svajda63c223.83$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8310570.5%74 W · 31 L+0.5wins0.00per pick70cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe255…04e8backed Zachary Svajda51c220$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a3…c244backed Colton Smith47c217$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Zachary Svajda70c214.29$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2950364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Zachary Svajda56c213.17$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.4168951.1%352 W · 337 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.