TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x94bd…1f9c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst Asian League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT2958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zadar: Duje Ajdukovic vs Matej Dodigbacked Duje Ajdukovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Miami Open: Marin Cilic vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$189
Miami Open: Reilly Opelka vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Miami Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$212
Miami Open: Ethan Quinn vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Miami Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Mariano Navonebacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$109
Zadar: Lukas Neumayer vs Nerman Faticbacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$82.98
Zadar: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$36.35
Zadar: Martin Krumich vs Matej Dodigbacked Matej Dodig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$64.35
Murcia: Elmer Moeller vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Elmer Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$91
Murcia: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$60.74
Miami Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Christopher O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$157.87
Miami Open, Qualification: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Coleman Wongbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$81.82
Miami Open, Qualification: Yunchaokete Bu vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$101.83
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$691Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+78%+$539.32
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$208
Cherbourg: Remy Bertola vs Borna Gojobacked Borna Gojo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$51.07
Hersonissos 2: Lorenzo Giustino vs Paul Jubbbacked Paul Jubb · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Kigali 2: Marco Trungelliti vs Max Houkesbacked Max Houkes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kigali 2: Stefano Napolitano vs Arthur Geabacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
BNP Paribas Open: Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
BNP Paribas Open: Arthur Fils vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$231.01
Kigali 2: Stefano Napolitano vs Maximilian Neuchristbacked Maximilian Neuchrist · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kigali 2: Eero Vasa vs Filip Jianubacked Filip Jianu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$50.18
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draperbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+51.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$73.41
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$232
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$102.1
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$46.4
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$72.53
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs Alter Ego (BO3) - Asia Championships Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+130%+$252.14
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick57cpaid+45.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-52.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SS Lazio vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$226.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$276.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kayserispor win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$67.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.