Tennis · resolved market
Kigali 2: Eero Vasa vs Filip Jianu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5815142de24fbe609a02de8f58ea9677fcb083333a244316335eca88a73caf1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Filip Jianuof Eero Vasa, Filip Jianu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,393 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1391…1119backed Eero Vasa | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Eero Vasa | 24c | 510.43$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.82 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Eero Vasa | 13c | 498$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Eero Vasa | 21c | 468.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Eero Vasa | 9c | 465$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 252 | 34.1%86 W · 166 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Eero Vasa | 25c | 384.53$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Eero Vasa | 16c | 351.34$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Eero Vasa | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Eero Vasa | 24c | 333.53$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.41 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5e…3c51backed Filip Jianu | 77c | 313.25$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.68 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94bd…1f9cbacked Filip Jianu | 77c | 218.18$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.18 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Filip Jianu | 79c | 165$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Filip Jianu | 76c | 160.42$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Filip Jianu | 76c | 129.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Filip Jianu | 73c | 126.03$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 206 | 64.1%132 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Eero Vasa | 24c | 123.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Eero Vasa | 12c | 105.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Filip Jianu | 77c | 100.68$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Filip Jianu | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Filip Jianu | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Eero Vasa | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Eero Vasa | 19c | 99.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Eero Vasa | 25c | 93.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb551…17ffbacked Eero Vasa | 24c | 68.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Eero Vasa | 21c | 67.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Eero Vasa | 17c | 64.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Filip Jianu | 72c | 62.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 980 | 55.4%543 W · 437 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Filip Jianu | 79c | 61.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Eero Vasa | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674c…6dabbacked Filip Jianu | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Filip Jianu | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 172 | 62.8%108 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Filip Jianu | 75c | 30.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 341 | 59.5%203 W · 138 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…f982backed Filip Jianu | 76c | 30.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Filip Jianu | 79c | 27.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc871…2f76backed Filip Jianu | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Filip Jianu | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 904 | 59.5%538 W · 366 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b4…9152backed Filip Jianu | 77c | 21.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Filip Jianu | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Filip Jianu | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Filip Jianu | 69c | 14.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.