Tennis · resolved market
Kigali 2: Stefano Napolitano vs Arthur Gea
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ea08d5073a637a9ca55d024c75848048df1bca08f254b256f90883912094094
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arthur Geaof Stefano Napolitano, Arthur Gea
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,374 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Arthur Gea | 64c | 10,000$6,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,615.38 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e9…390ebacked Arthur Gea | 80c | 6,361$5,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.17 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stefano Napolitano | 36c | 6,324$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,267.16 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Stefano Napolitano | 20c | 4,153$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.52 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…19acbacked Stefano Napolitano | 19c | 3,000$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.7 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked Stefano Napolitano | 58c | 2,173$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.11 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Arthur Gea | 65c | 1,548$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.98 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd058…0613backed Stefano Napolitano | 17c | 1,320$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Arthur Gea | 77c | 1,234$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.54 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stefano Napolitano | 28c | 1,024$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.84 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Stefano Napolitano | 36c | 909.43$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.39 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Arthur Gea | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Arthur Gea | 73c | 768.86$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.72 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Stefano Napolitano | 27c | 709.11$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.35 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9548…1226backed Arthur Gea | 61c | 656.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.02 | 78 | 75.6%59 W · 19 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Arthur Gea | 41c | 558.85$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.25 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Arthur Gea | 47c | 544$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.95 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Arthur Gea | 62c | 499.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Stefano Napolitano | 43c | 496.91$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.64 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb3…9dfdbacked Stefano Napolitano | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arthur Gea | 75c | 478.68$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.59 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Stefano Napolitano | 38c | 435.25$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.4 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked Stefano Napolitano | 24c | 416.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 331 | 49.2%163 W · 168 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Arthur Gea | 52c | 388.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.13 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x628a…6d8fbacked Stefano Napolitano | 14c | 314.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…b1a9backed Stefano Napolitano | 29c | 313.79$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Arthur Gea | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Arthur Gea | 58c | 257.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.73 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Arthur Gea | 54c | 253.3$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.62 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf6…6e6ebacked Stefano Napolitano | 39c | 243.9$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…51b3backed Arthur Gea | 64c | 236.13$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.13 | 353 | 60.9%215 W · 138 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd99e…67e3backed Arthur Gea | 62c | 234.6$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.15 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa1…dc77backed Arthur Gea | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Stefano Napolitano | 28c | 225.7$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bd…1f9cbacked Arthur Gea | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Arthur Gea | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked Stefano Napolitano | 12c | 220$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked Arthur Gea | 46c | 214$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.48 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Stefano Napolitano | 37c | 204.73$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.94 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Arthur Gea | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 285 | 52.3%149 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebb…7e02backed Stefano Napolitano | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…79f3backed Arthur Gea | 45c | 192.42$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.83 | 212 | 57.5%122 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Stefano Napolitano | 9c | 188.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 131 | 13.7%18 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…d5a3backed Arthur Gea | 65c | 186.15$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.15 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6887…5a0cbacked Stefano Napolitano | 17c | 185$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…b2b4backed Arthur Gea | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Arthur Gea | 79c | 154.18$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Stefano Napolitano | 59c | 152.74$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Stefano Napolitano | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Stefano Napolitano | 45c | 148.87$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Arthur Gea | 73c | 144.35$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Stefano Napolitano | 31c | 140$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Stefano Napolitano | 36c | 137.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…804ebacked Stefano Napolitano | 26c | 136.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 155 | 14.2%22 W · 133 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Stefano Napolitano | 31c | 134.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…a665backed Arthur Gea | 76c | 133.11$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…fe2abacked Arthur Gea | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Stefano Napolitano | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Arthur Gea | 68c | 124.19$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Arthur Gea | 44c | 109.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 341 | 59.5%203 W · 138 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…a03dbacked Arthur Gea | 75c | 106$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Arthur Gea | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Arthur Gea | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Stefano Napolitano | 42c | 97.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Arthur Gea | 73c | 95.22$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Stefano Napolitano | 44c | 89.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…8d9bbacked Arthur Gea | 44c | 87.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 319 | 41.4%132 W · 187 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Arthur Gea | 72c | 83.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Stefano Napolitano | 38c | 80.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb32…787dbacked Arthur Gea | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Stefano Napolitano | 27c | 77.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc86e…8dfcbacked Arthur Gea | 78c | 77.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Stefano Napolitano | 37c | 77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Stefano Napolitano | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Arthur Gea | 68c | 75.73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07d9…9397backed Arthur Gea | 77c | 73.84$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Stefano Napolitano | 39c | 65.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Stefano Napolitano | 32c | 60.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7027…fababacked Stefano Napolitano | 21c | 57.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Stefano Napolitano | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Stefano Napolitano | 37c | 53.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Stefano Napolitano | 37c | 53.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Stefano Napolitano | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Stefano Napolitano | 27c | 50.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Arthur Gea | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Arthur Gea | 66c | 49.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Stefano Napolitano | 37c | 49.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Stefano Napolitano | 38c | 45.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 432 | 42.4%183 W · 249 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Stefano Napolitano | 58c | 43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Stefano Napolitano | 38c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a00…56c6backed Arthur Gea | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…2a20backed Stefano Napolitano | 36c | 38.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…483abacked Stefano Napolitano | 54c | 36.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Arthur Gea | 62c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Arthur Gea | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Arthur Gea | 75c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Stefano Napolitano | 39c | 28.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Arthur Gea | 63c | 25.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Arthur Gea | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c13…d522backed Stefano Napolitano | 58c | 22.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kigali 2: Stefano Napolitano vs Arthur Geathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Napolitano vs GeaGea won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.