Asian League · resolved market
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc63febb69a0ad96d37399c572ae015265383ac8d5754ac93e7cba2def371c148
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,114 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4962…5a8dbacked No | 45c | 8,200$3,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,690 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa640…d9bbbacked Yes | 55c | 5,035$2,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,251.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…b4efbacked Yes | 55c | 4,873$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,192.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…8839backed No | 45c | 4,648$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…7141backed Yes | 55c | 2,940$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 45c | 495.7$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.21 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 478.88$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.13 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 43c | 333.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.07 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…1d90backed Yes | 50c | 230$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bd…1f9cbacked Yes | 53c | 189.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 42c | 187.57$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.37 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 168$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Yes | 57c | 135$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e36…6ce1backed Yes | 57c | 128.07$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Yes | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 43c | 87.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 56c | 80.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…e592backed Yes | 70c | 68.41$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…2414backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7a…e989backed Yes | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce38…eecdbacked No | 45c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…919cbacked Yes | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Yes | 57c | 17.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Yes | 57c | 17.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.