Asian League · resolved market
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f06973bd16b7d99f6f5682610c8a391865fe54384e4c631ee8b45b37b2afdf5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,234 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 18c | 4,731$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.01 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc674…1176backed Under | 18c | 2,044$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x230b…143abacked Over | 37c | 399.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.24 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +95%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 380.12$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.99 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 65c | 330.83$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.77 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 56c | 227.53$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.6 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 39c | 199.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.99 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 71c | 137.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.93 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Under | 19c | 135.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Over | 53c | 123.76$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.85 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 33c | 121.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.44 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0b…c584backed Over | 77c | 110.55$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27e…29d4backed Under | 48c | 103.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under | 56c | 86.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb231…0363backed Over | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…cebfbacked Over | 32c | 83.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 65c | 73.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 34c | 49.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed Under | 56c | 45.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 53c | 37.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 52c | 19.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 58c | 18.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…a863backed Under | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 73c | 13.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.