Asian League · resolved market
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb408139ab64b214688010f7739b6550e5308dc384a91bef297e950a71e8bd6ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,199 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 35c | 1,207$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.31 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 72c | 715.6$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.75 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 22c | 586.11$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.88 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 73c | 539.59$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.69 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 77c | 507.11$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.11 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 20c | 258.74$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.94 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over | 76c | 203.11$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0b…c584backed Over | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x230b…143abacked Over | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +95%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 33c | 178.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 17c | 157.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.02 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 35c | 157.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…5baabacked Over | 33c | 116.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 69c | 85.13$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Under | 19c | 54.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 25c | 50.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…f943backed Under | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 71c | 49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Over | 77c | 45.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 54c | 42.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x562e…922bbacked Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 69c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 77c | 27.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f59…21cbbacked Over | 73c | 24.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x433d…a85abacked Over | 73c | 14.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.