Asian League · resolved market
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x400acc26909ceeb6fc25d886bf071a157b52e86879494e892175ade36e232db0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,089 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05f2…61b7backed Under | 46c | 6,996$3,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,218.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0365…aef3backed Under | 46c | 5,067$2,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,344.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc777…0c7bbacked Over | 54c | 4,995$2,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,302.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…dd5fbacked Over | 54c | 4,530$2,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1f…00c1backed Over | 54c | 2,538$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc674…1176backed Under | 37c | 1,356$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 1,139$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.29 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69c…890ebacked Over | 52c | 945.11$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.05 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 55c | 768.05$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.05 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 60c | 505.01$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.96 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 51c | 505$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.55 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 52c | 393.83$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.04 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27e…29d4backed Under | 62c | 340$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 51c | 292.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 51c | 284.87$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.78 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Under | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb7…dd4bbacked Under | 55c | 167.4$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 165.21$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.15 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 50c | 158$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over | 78c | 129.27$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0b…c584backed Over | 51c | 121.56$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 46c | 96.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Over | 54c | 88.89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 48c | 80.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Under | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61c6…2e9fbacked Over | 54c | 61.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Over | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 58c | 51.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 51c | 38.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…ffc6backed Over | 54c | 37.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7a…e989backed Over | 52c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 50c | 27.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Under | 46c | 26.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e92…7e9fbacked Under | 51c | 23.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Over | 47c | 22.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…c3e9backed Over | 69c | 21.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Over | 60c | 17.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.