TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Miami Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Christopher O'Connell

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Christopher O'Connellof Nicolas Mejia, Christopher O'Connell
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$151,292

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,292 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5aa9…febebacked Nicolas Mejia2c23,875$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.181,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Nicolas Mejia1c17,121$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.6366139.3%260 W · 401 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nicolas Mejia9c10,264$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.352,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Nicolas Mejia9c7,522$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.6880938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Nicolas Mejia1c3,066$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.962,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Nicolas Mejia9c2,667$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24071725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddc…83b9backed Christopher O'Connell59c2,547$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.6112951.9%67 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a73…e1adbacked Nicolas Mejia11c2,200$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24215826.6%42 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3846…9742backed Christopher O'Connell74c1,861$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.823366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Nicolas Mejia16c1,607$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.273,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Nicolas Mejia1c1,551$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.922550.8%2 W · 253 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-68.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c68…072dbacked Nicolas Mejia11c1,500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1652020%4 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-49.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nicolas Mejia11c1,319$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.211,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Nicolas Mejia51c1,200$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61224643.9%108 W · 138 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Christopher O'Connell46c1,085$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.331,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Nicolas Mejia26c1,023$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.7146932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Nicolas Mejia30c700$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.611,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nicolas Mejia26c691.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.921,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3448…a954backed Christopher O'Connell74c676.83$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.83944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Nicolas Mejia2c650.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.871,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Christopher O'Connell66c613.83$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.144,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Nicolas Mejia26c585.41$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.329,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x903f…de5fbacked Nicolas Mejia28c569$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.8216830.4%51 W · 117 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Nicolas Mejia10c523.59$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.366,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Nicolas Mejia53c515.98$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.114,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Nicolas Mejia26c494$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.441,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nicolas Mejia47c434.87$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.1411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Nicolas Mejia11c363.55$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.995143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a45…172abacked Nicolas Mejia6c345.11$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94bd…1f9cbacked Christopher O'Connell47c297.87$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.872958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Christopher O'Connell74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2759165.3%386 W · 205 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Nicolas Mejia33c265$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1554450.6%275 W · 269 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Nicolas Mejia28c247$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3828038.2%107 W · 173 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Christopher O'Connell70c221$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.81,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7623…220bbacked Christopher O'Connell48c206.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.57944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Christopher O'Connell72c200$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.229461.9%182 W · 112 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Christopher O'Connell74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5258753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Christopher O'Connell52c193.34$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.562,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nicolas Mejia47c181.04$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.997,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Nicolas Mejia28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5066452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ee…47c8backed Christopher O'Connell75c170.84$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7120261.4%124 W · 78 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a32…9f40backed Christopher O'Connell75c160$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4022949.8%114 W · 115 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68af…ca81backed Nicolas Mejia33c157.76$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7521720.3%44 W · 173 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Nicolas Mejia26c150$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x860e…a06dbacked Christopher O'Connell68c145.08$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4312032.5%39 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Nicolas Mejia39c142.98$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.866,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Nicolas Mejia26c140$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.42,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Christopher O'Connell72c139.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.21,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Nicolas Mejia27c135.57$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.61,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Christopher O'Connell72c133.71$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4441955.8%234 W · 185 L-0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Nicolas Mejia26c132.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.237,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Nicolas Mejia26c111.09$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3929533.6%99 W · 196 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Nicolas Mejia26c109.74$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.567540%30 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc131…10acbacked Christopher O'Connell64c102.23$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Nicolas Mejia35c99.24$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.543,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x6040…33a9backed Christopher O'Connell72c97.49$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.37237.5%27 W · 45 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Christopher O'Connell69c93$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2599044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Nicolas Mejia40c92.63$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.652,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Nicolas Mejia53c87.64$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.052,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Christopher O'Connell71c85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5589364.4%575 W · 318 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Nicolas Mejia50c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.59246.7%43 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Christopher O'Connell74c69.21$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.992,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc274…86debacked Christopher O'Connell51c68$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6449342.8%211 W · 282 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6617…dfb9backed Nicolas Mejia27c67.96$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0524249.2%119 W · 123 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…4968backed Nicolas Mejia53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305841.4%24 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Christopher O'Connell59c54.89$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7331039.4%122 W · 188 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Nicolas Mejia30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518933.9%64 W · 125 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Christopher O'Connell73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.529947.5%142 W · 157 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5ce…286abacked Christopher O'Connell76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick70cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x613f…6463backed Nicolas Mejia22c49.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.065937.3%22 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Christopher O'Connell49c49.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2532450.9%165 W · 159 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Nicolas Mejia52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2552457.4%301 W · 223 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Nicolas Mejia54c47.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.411,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x955f…2e25backed Nicolas Mejia54c47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.386939.1%27 W · 42 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Nicolas Mejia49c44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3439751.4%204 W · 193 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Christopher O'Connell49c40.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.662,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Christopher O'Connell51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.225662.5%35 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca2e…88f5backed Christopher O'Connell46c32.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.761090%9 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.32per pick58cpaid+56.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Christopher O'Connell58c30.75$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.838460.4%232 W · 152 L+29.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Nicolas Mejia44c30.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.421,07673.8%794 W · 282 L+41.1wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37ea…6cb9backed Nicolas Mejia51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157050%35 W · 35 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc332…59a9backed Christopher O'Connell68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.411369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbebf…9baebacked Christopher O'Connell72c27.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8390854.5%495 W · 413 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f0d…f4d9backed Christopher O'Connell77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.97757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93cb…6b6ebacked Christopher O'Connell75c24.56$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.213116.1%5 W · 26 L-5.9wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-65.8%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Christopher O'Connell55c23.86$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.622,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Christopher O'Connell50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb526…613abacked Christopher O'Connell50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Christopher O'Connell73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.52,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd51…ce69backed Christopher O'Connell60c18.52$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3937156.3%209 W · 162 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bcb…ffdcbacked Christopher O'Connell73c16.44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.