TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb526…613a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: La Liga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dalma Galfi vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$65.85
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: McCartney Kessler vs Lucia Bronzettibacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$21.75
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Pierluigi Basilebacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$10.96
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Emiliana Arango vs Noemi Basilettibacked Emiliana Arango · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.19
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.63
Madrid Open: Belinda Bencic vs Hailey Baptistebacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Anna Bondarbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$12.08
Madrid Open: Jessica Pegula vs Marta Kostyukbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.61
Madrid Open: Dino Prizmic vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.25
Madrid Open: Belinda Bencic vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$40.95
Madrid Open: Belinda Bencic vs Petra Marcinkobacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$13.11
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Andrey Rublev vs Zizou Bergsbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.6
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.48
Miami Open, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Martina Trevisanbacked Renata Zarazua · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$21.19
Miami Open, Qualification: Jay Clarke vs Shintaro Mochizukibacked Shintaro Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Miami Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Christopher O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.75
BNP Paribas Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.7
BNP Paribas Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Tatjana Mariabacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13.64
Merida Open Akron: Jasmine Paolini vs Cristina Bucsabacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Merida Open Akron: Zeynep Sonmez vs Cristina Bucsabacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Mexican Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Mattia Belluccibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+47.1%+$4.8
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.55
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.98
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$88.86
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$896Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+173.5%+$1,555.02
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$215.83
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.9
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.21
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$145.2
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$124
Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.15
All 13 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+95.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick18cpaid+160.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$34.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+25%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.