Premier League · resolved market
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-12-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a8e4aa1d3f3bd55e08c4efdfef2eb3b03eac436487f414bc1c332fe54df6b91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 62c | 4,723$2,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,922.01 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 7c | 3,295$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.49 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…9133backed No | 33c | 2,394$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 62c | 1,457$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.4 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 38c | 1,420$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.22 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 38c | 1,330$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.6 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 8c | 1,301$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.58 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 2c | 1,078$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 47c | 764.79$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.31 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 48c | 569.89$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.91 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes | 38c | 526$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.12 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 66c | 449.4$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.37 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 65c | 423.85$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.43 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 5c | 420.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Yes | 76c | 419.02$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.34 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Yes | 72c | 396.02$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.78 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Yes | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 75c | 251$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Yes | 38c | 152.3$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.43 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 23c | 135.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 38c | 110.53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.53 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Yes | 78c | 102.56$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…6a54backed Yes | 40c | 102.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 26c | 102.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 10c | 100.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Yes | 38c | 90$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 29c | 83.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6e…c807backed Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 67c | 66.08$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…6b74backed Yes | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0142…b168backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…bc05backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e74…32c3backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc994…f4ebbacked Yes | 38c | 46.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 62c | 39.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 58c | 32.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb526…613abacked Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed0…7ad5backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 289 | 50.9%147 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-12-29?this page
- Will Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Stoke City FC win on 2025-12-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.